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This is suggestion is a good example of the sund cost fallacy, I spent 20 minutes and was like, I can't just let that time go to waste, so I spent another hour + on it ;(
Item 1 https://backpack.tf/item/3902387722
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018341857#!/compare/1687564800/1687651200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199407476980#!/compare/1687737600/1687737600
Deposit onto Skinport
Item 2 https://backpack.tf/item/3903720382
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199246725367#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
Super low, Seems like it's missing something
Item 3 https://backpack.tf/item/3903173254
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301015840#!/compare/1687219200/1689379200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118580639#!/compare/1687910400/1688083200
Smoking Master's Yellow Belt + Burning Flames Classy Capper, exluding because I already have a range, so it wouldn't change anything
Item 4 https://backpack.tf/item/3903385088
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202000000#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1686614400/1686787200
Bot to owner
Item 5 https://backpack.tf/item/3901775131
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361057294#!/compare/1688860800/1691539200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984528025#!/compare/1691193600/1691539200
Probably a sale on mannco.store
Marketplace.tf sales
Item 6 https://backpack.tf/item/3902373344
Sale 6
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/727;6;kt-2
Sold on May 17th 2023 for $450 / 2.02 = 222.77 --> round to 225 keys
Item 7 https://backpack.tf/item/3901437038
Sale 7 (probably on this item, either that or sale 8 is on this one, doesn't really matter though)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/727;6;kt-3
Sold on August 1st 2023 for $599.99 / 1.95 = 307.69 --> round to 310 keys
Sale 8
Sold on August 11th 2023 for $599.99 / 2 = 299.995 --> round to 300 keys
Various SCM sales
Basic Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 9
May 17th, 492.57 / 2.03 = 242.65 --> round to 245keys
Sale 10
July 9th, 325.34 / 1.87 = 173.98 --> round to 175 keys
Spec Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 11
May 16th, 263.17 / 2.02 = 130.28 --> round to 130 keys
Sale 12
May 22nd, 373.45 / 2.04 = 183.06 --> round to 185 keys
Prof Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 13
May 18th, 272.51 / 2.03 = 134.24 --> round to 135 keys
Sale 14
June 1st, 325.22 / 2.02 = 161 --> round to 160 keys
Sale 15
June 16th, 512.95 / 2.07 = 247.8 --> round to 250 keys
Sale 16
June 22nd, 539.91 / 2.04 = 264.66 --> round to 265 keys
Sale 17
July 11th, 325.29 / 1.89 = 172.11 --> round to 170 keys
Sale 18
25th July, 496.32 / 2.01 = 246.93 --> round to 245 keys
Sale 19
July 31st, 540.68 / 2 = 270.34 --> round to 270 keys
...And now every sale by price descending and whether or not we're using it
- 310 = unsold at ~250 for 4 months, too high
- 300 = ^
- 270 = ^
- 265 = ^
- 250 = ^
- 245 = ^
- 225 = using it
- 185 = using it
- 175 = using it
- 170 = not using, below buyers
- 160 = ^
- 135 = ^
- 130 = ^
Capping at 240 due to unsolds. Not going below buyers, so 175 - 240
EDIT: Typo
This is suggestion is a good example of the sund cost fallacy, I spent 20 minutes and was like, I can't just let that time go to waste, so I spent another hour + on it ;(
Item 1 https://backpack.tf/item/3902387722
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018341857#!/compare/1687564800/1687651200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199407476980#!/compare/1687737600/1687737600
Deposit onto Skinport
Item 2 https://backpack.tf/item/3903720382
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198342161127#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199246725367#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
Super low, Seems like it's missing something
Item 3 https://backpack.tf/item/3903173254
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301015840#!/compare/1687219200/1689379200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118580639#!/compare/1687910400/1688083200
Smoking Master's Yellow Belt + Burning Flames Classy Capper, exluding because I already have a range, so it wouldn't change anything
Item 4 https://backpack.tf/item/3903385088
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202000000#!/compare/1686614400/1686700800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1686614400/1686787200
Bot to owner
Item 5 https://backpack.tf/item/3901775131
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198361057294#!/compare/1688860800/1691539200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984528025#!/compare/1691193600/1691539200
Probably a sale on mannco.store
Marketplace.tf sales
Item 6 https://backpack.tf/item/3902373344
Sale 6
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/727;6;kt-2
Sold on May 17th 2023 for $450 / 2.02 = 222.77 --> round to 225 keys
Item 7 https://backpack.tf/item/3901437038
Sale 7 (probably on this item, either that or sale 8 is on this one, doesn't really matter though)
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/727;6;kt-3
Sold on August 1st 2023 for $599.99 / 1.95 = 307.69 --> round to 310 keys
Sale 8
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/727;6;kt-3
Sold on August 11th 2023 for $599.99 / 2 = 299.995 --> round to 300 keys
Various SCM sales
Basic Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 9
May 17th, 492.57 / 2.03 = 242.65 --> round to 245keys
Sale 10
July 9th, 325.34 / 1.87 = 173.98 --> round to 175 keys
Spec Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 11
May 16th, 263.17 / 2.02 = 130.28 --> round to 130 keys
Sale 12
May 22nd, 373.45 / 2.04 = 183.06 --> round to 185 keys
Prof Killstreak
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Professional%20Killstreak%20Black%20Rose
Sale 13
May 18th, 272.51 / 2.03 = 134.24 --> round to 135 keys
Sale 14
June 1st, 325.22 / 2.02 = 161 --> round to 160 keys
Sale 15
June 16th, 512.95 / 2.07 = 247.8 --> round to 250 keys
Sale 16
June 22nd, 539.91 / 2.04 = 264.66 --> round to 265 keys
Sale 17
July 11th, 325.29 / 1.89 = 172.11 --> round to 170 keys
Sale 18
25th July, 496.32 / 2.01 = 246.93 --> round to 245 keys
Sale 19
July 31st, 540.68 / 2 = 270.34 --> round to 270 keys
...And now every sale by price descending and whether or not we're using it
- 310 = unsold at ~250 for 4 months, too high
- 300 = ^
- 270 = ^
- 265 = ^
- 250 = ^
- 245 = ^
- 225 = using it
- 185 = using it
- 175 = using it
- 170 = not using, below buyers
- 160 = ^
- 135 = ^
- 130 = ^
Capping at 240 due to unsolds. Not going below buyers, so 175 - 240
EDIT: Typo