Suggestion: Frostbite Condor Cap at 190–230 keys

Sold for a Wildflower Meadows Taunt: The Scaredy-cat! (taking buyers given no sales, 9 keys) + a Global Clusters Field Practice (200 keys) + a Haunted Ghosts Throttlehead (10 keys) + an Eyes of Molten Reel Fly Hat (70 keys) + x3 Strange Secretly Serviced War Paint (WW) (1.54 keys each) + a Strange Team Serviced War Paint (FN) (5.2 keys) + x4 Veteran's Attire (1.8 keys each) + x2 Starboard Crusader (1.3 keys each) + 20 keys = 9+200+10+70+1.54+1.54+1.54+5.2+1.8+1.8+1.8+1.8+1.3+1.3+20 = 328.62ish keys

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054198170#!/compare/1690329600/1690761600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970562873#!/compare/1690675200/1690848000

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Mini for a Strange Secretly Serviced War Paint (WW)

Sales on 08/07/23

1.62/2.23 = 0.73ish keys x2

1.8/2.23 = 0.81ish keys

1.7/2.23 = 0.76ish keys

1.7/2.24 = 0.76ish keys

1.57/2.24 = 0.70ish keys x2

2.01/2.25 = 0.89ish keys

1.63/2.26 = 0.72ish keys x2

2.21/2.26 = 0.98ish keys

1.99/2.26 = 0.88ish keys

2/2.25 = 0.89ish keys

1.32/2.25 = 0.59ish keys

Sales on 08/08/23

1.60/2.25 = 0.71ish keys x2

2.12/2.24 = 0.95ish keys x2

2.06/2.25 = 0.92ish keys

2.26/2.24 = 1.01ish keys x2

1.38/2.24 = 0.62ish keys

Sales on 08/09/23

1.85/2.24 = 0.83ish keys x2

1.37/2.24 = 0.61ish keys

1.51/2.23 = 0.68ish keys

1.95/2.25 = 0.87ish keys x2

1.97/2.24 = 0.88ish keys

Sales on 08/10/23

1.76/2.21 = 0.80ish keys

1.37/2.20 = 0.62ish keys

1.38/2.22 = 0.62ish keys

2/2.20 = 0.91ish keys x2

2/2.21 = 0.90ish keys x3

1.5/2.21 = 0.68ish keys

1.67/2.21 = 0.76ish keys x2

Sales on 08/11/23

1.51/2.21 = 0.68ish keys

1.5/2.26 = 0.66ish keys

1.31/2.27 = 0.58ish keys

Sales on 08/12/23

1.51/2.23 = 0.68ish keys x2

1.51/2.23 = 0.68ish keys

1.43/2.23 = 0.64ish keys

1.26/2.22 = 0.57ish keys

1.42/2.21 = 0.64ish keys

Sales on 08/13/23

1.94/2.20 = 0.88ish keys

1.35/2.22 = 0.61ish keys x2

1.19/2.21 = 0.54ish keys

1.22/2.21 = 0.55ish keys

1.22/2.20 = 0.55ish keys

Sales on 08/14/23

1.54/2.22 = 0.69ish keys

1.4/2.22 = 0.63ish keys

1.20/2.24 = 0.54ish keys

1.31/2.25 = 0.58ish keys

1.19/2.24 = 0.53ish keys

Buyers @ $1.18 right now so excluding anything below that

Sales @ 0.53, 0.54, 0.54, 0.55, 0.55, 0.57, 0.58, 0.58, 0.59, 0.61, 0.61, 0.61, 0.62, 0.62, 0.62, 0.63, 0.64, 0.64, 0.66, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.68, 0.69, 0.70, 0.70, 0.71, 0.71, 0.72, 0.72, 0.73, 0.73, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.76, 0.80, 0.81, 0.83, 0.83, 0.87, 0.87, 0.88, 0.88, 0.88, 0.89, 0.89, 0.90, 0.91, 0.92, 0.95, 0.95, 0.98, 1.01, 1.01

Taking 0.53-1.01 here

Key Prices

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Mini for Strange Team Serviced War Paint (FN)

Sales on 08/07/23

13.73/2.24 = 6.13ish keys

10.2/2.24 = 4.55ish keys

13.71/2.25 = 6.09ish keys

10/2.25 = 4.44ish keys

10.36/2.26 = 4.58ish keys

Sales on 08/08/23

13/2.24 = 5.80ish keys

10.32/2.24 = 4.61ish keys

13/2.24 = 5.80ish keys

10.47/2.23 = 4.70ish keys

Sales on 08/09/23

12.9/2.24 = 5.76ish keys

11.70/2.23 = 5.25ish keys

12.45/2.24 = 5.56ish keys

12.3/2.22 = 5.54ish keys

Sales on 08/10/23

10.22/2.21 = 4.62ish keys

12.05/2.20 = 5.48ish keys

10.24/2.22 = 4.61ish keys

10.24/2.21 = 4.63ish keys

12.45/2.20 = 5.66ish keys

10.20/2.21 = 4.62ish keys

12.45/2.23 = 5.58ish keys

Sales on 08/11/23

10.3/2.29 = 4.50ish keys

10.01/2.21 = 4.53ish keys

10.5/2.25 = 4.67ish keys

10.01/2.22 = 4.51ish keys

11.50/2.21 = 5.20ish keys

Sales on 08/12/23

12.04/2.23 = 5.40ish keys

10.17/2.24 = 4.54ish keys x2

12.46/2.23 = 5.59ish keys x2

8.93/2.21 = 4.04ish keys

9.48/2.22 = 4.27ish keys x2

9.96/2.21 = 4.51ish keys x2

Sales on 08/13/23

12.45/2.21 = 5.63ish keys

12.45/2.20 = 5.66ish keys

10.03/2.22 = 4.52ish keys

11.5/2.23 = 5.16ish keys

12.03/2.21 = 5.44ish keys

12.34/2.2 = 5.61ish keys

12.46/2.21 = 5.64ish keys

12.43/2.20 = 5.65 keys

12/2.20 = 5.45ish keys

Sales on 08/14/23

10.01/2.22 = 4.51ish keys x3

12.11/2.25 = 5.38ish keys

9.18/2.26 = 4.06ish keys

Current buyers @ $9.27 so excluding anything below that

Sales @ 4.27, 4.27, 4.44, 4.50, 4.51, 4.51, 4.51, 4.51, 4.52, 4.53, 4.54, 4.54, 4.58, 4.55, 4.61, 4.61, 4.62, 4.62, 4.63, 4.67, 4.70, 5.16, 5.20, 5.25, 5.38, 5.40, 5.44, 5.45, 5.48, 5.54, 5.56, 5.58, 5.59, 5.59, 5.61, 5.63, 5.64, 5.65, 5.66, 5.66, 5.76, 5.80, 5.80, 6.09, 6.13,

Taking 4.27-6.13 here

Key Prices

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MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $449.99 on August 12, 2023

Keys @ $2

449.99/2 = 225ish keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30553;5;u87

Sales @ 192. 225, 329

Excluding 329 given buyers at 300

Rounding to 190-230 and taking that

One unsold in stn for ages at 204 keys, cool suggestion though.

It was originally 170 keys, but all unusuals on STN have gone up by a certain percentage.

That especially considered just shows that the 225 key (230 rounded) high end is too high when no one is willing to pay 204 atm or whatever it was before that.

I get where you are coming from but since STN is a separate website from bp.tf and only people who know about it find those unusuals there it shouldn't be used to reliably take prices from, I'll just wait for a mod to comment in case they do see that as a problem but until then I'll leave this open if its alright!

That doesn’t really make sense. Marketplace.tf, scrap.tf, bazaar.tf, and the SCM are all separate from bp and still count in price suggestions. There’s no reason why STN can’t as well.

The Stn one has sold if you could look into those sales

I'm assuming you mean this one since its the one that has had any sales since last time I checked

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/3645153748

First sale was already looked at here and was untreaceable

Sale #1

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1692662400/1692748800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198414515070#!/compare/1692316800/1692748800

Sale #2

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198414515070#!/compare/1693353600/1693958400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1693526400/1693785600

Sale #3

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1694304000/1694390400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137524012#!/compare/1694217600/1694390400

Sale #4

Sold with 23 keys for a Scorching Flames Crit Cloak (no other sales for the Cloak, not usable)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137524012#!/compare/1694908800/1695859200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1694908800/1694995200

Not sure whether this suggestion is still fine given that the quicksell.store bot is selling this for 215 keys now and given that the 230 sale was mostly in items. I'll wait for you response and see what you think its better tho!

Thanks for looking into those sales. Since there's nearly always been a seller below 230, including now, I'd call 230 high and go 190 flat here.