Requested

I'm off for summer now Summer is now over lmao

Hey remember when Wiz unboxed this and put me onto my crippling addiction for unboxing EOTLs

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/10402103810

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165171290#!/compare/1682467200/1682985600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279927621#!/compare/1680998400/1682812800

Bulk for Knifestorm Towering Pillar of Hats - I might update that

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/3521089734 - DUPED

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056842766#!/compare/1680048000/1680134400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144213775#!/compare/1680048000/1680134400

Sold for:

Burning Flames Hunter in Darkness - https://pastebin.com/veX9njzE - If a price mod can look through this and see what they think

120 keys

Pasting my conclusion from the pastebin:

I'm left with the difficult decision to either price at 288 since it is technically the only usable sale here but I would much rather range this from 249 - 288 as a mini.

I'll use 288 keys the mini since that's the same hunter used in the HKC trade meaning the buyer definitely valued the Hunter at 288 in that trade.

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Hong+Kong+Cone&at=2023-03-29T15%3A24%3A00.000Z - Buyout of 450 keys

288 + 120 = 408 keys

Sale 3 Hana >> Crimson

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198160856661#!/compare/1684108800/1684195200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194263363#!/compare/1683763200/1684195200

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1108110805817364571/1108133893246304266/dow43t34t34nload.png - 450 keys

https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/1108110805817364571/1108133893598621716/do435435252wnload.png - Screenshot of the HKC

Taking as 450 keys

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/3280841934

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1683590400/1683676800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198090373633#!/compare/1683763200/1684281600

https://prnt.sc/Vcqh-l2u6ki_

Sold through mannco, not using as they are no longer considered proof

Sale would come to about 591 keys though, and it is the only "usable" clean sale

Sales

408, 450 and 591

Conclusion

408 - 450 seems to be the call here given that the mannco sale can't be used. This should be fine as a raise based off of a dupe though.

I'm comfortable with this being raised by a dupe based off the listing prices on clean hkcs being at the same price of the duped for a little while now.

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Hong+Kong+Cone&at=2023-04-30T02%3A19%3A00.000Z - Clean at 525 keys and 475 keys here.

Thanks aj (part 1):

https://prnt.sc/Rk8psKq5fcU5

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u90

Sale at $1500 pretty much today, $1500 / $2.02 = ~742 keys

I am gonna go ahead and say this should be closed since it excludes 2 cash sales, that also happen to be the only usable clean sales.

Waiting for mod response thanks

EDIT: https://backpack.tf/item/9185613786 item history for clarity, it is clean

Thanks aj (part 2):

https://prnt.sc/ILw-zxo50cCb

Confirmation on the burning hunter sale

Thanks aj (part 3):

Got added by 2 to update a new sale

Item history

https://backpack.tf/item/10402103810

Sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279927621#!/compare/1685145600/1686355200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069909083#!/compare/1686268800/1686355200

Sold for:

Strange Normal Stickybomb Launcher - indate at 432.5 keys

Strange Normal Grenade Launcher - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6487bb56ca89c4c3fe07cbd1 - 300 keys

Strange Orbiting Fire Brotherhood of Arms - https://pastebin.com/k0SwZnr1 - 107 keys

432.5 + 300 + 107 = 839.5 keys

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Death+at+Dusk+Hong+Kong+Cone&at=2023-06-09T15%3A55%3A00.000Z - 740 keys buyout

Caps at 740 keys easily, even if the ofire boa is capped at 90

More concluding remarks

We now have 2 duped sale evaluated at 408 and 450 keys

There are now 3 clean sales for 591 (mannco), 740 (above) and 742 (mp)

I think I'll keep this open for mod remarks but 740 - 742 (or 740 flat) should not be an option based on the other clean cash sale 150 keys cheaper, but the current range only uses duped sales which also shouldn't happen.

Ultimately the suggestion will be closed after mod response, just waiting on that, feel free to ping me in suggestion-discussion on discord to ask anymore questions.

Thanks aj (part 4): really patting my back here /s

New sale on this history:

https://backpack.tf/item/10402103810

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069909083#!/compare/1686528000/1686614400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152373135#!/compare/1686355200/1686528000

Looks like:

Neutron Star Casemaker

50 keys

Casemaker then dumped to Zol so really devalued it

Might not be the full sale but this definitely feels like the capped 740 sale should be excluded

New sale on this history:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057887455#!/compare/1688169600/1689033600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198689581#!/compare/1688774400/1688860800

Sold alongside:

DUPED Cloudy Moon El Jefe - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/64c6c4f10467e8feb90adbdc - was raised using 2 dupe sale, taking as 317.5 keys

300 keys

for

Harvest Moon Salty Dog - should be used there

Clean sales:

742 key Marketplace sale

2 duped sales @ <450 keys or so, exclude

840 key capped sale resold for significantly less, exclude

Waiting again, banan mentioned that he might have a pure offer

Thanks aj (part 5):

Another trade courtesy of Soft Tofu:

https://imgur.com/a/cR04yUF

20th August sale at:

450 keys

M4A1-S Printstream (Field-Tested)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/M4A1-S%20%7C%20Printstream%20(Field-Tested)

Aug 20th 12AM - £164.41 / £1.76 = 93.41 keys

Aug 20th 1AM - £173.89 / £1.75 = 99.37 keys

Aug 20th 2AM - £178.58 / £1.75 = 102.05 keys

Aug 20th 4AM - £147.99 / £1.75 = 84.57 keys

Aug 20th 5AM - £158.11 / £1.75 = 90.35 keys

Aug 20th 7AM - £165.89 / £1.75 = 94.79 keys

Aug 20th 9AM - £154.66 / £1.75 = 88.38 keys

Aug 20th 12PM - £156.04 / £1.76 = 88.66 keys

Aug 20th 1PM - £164.97 / £1.75 = 94.27 keys

Aug 20th 2PM - £149.37 / £1.77 = 84.39 keys

Aug 20th 3PM - £165.95 / £1.76 = 94.29 keys

Aug 20th 4PM - £165.89 / £1.75 = 94.79 keys

Aug 20th 5PM - £155.52 / £1.75 = 88.87 keys

Aug 20th 6PM - £165.90 / £1.76 = 94.26 keys

Aug 20th 7PM - £149.37 / £1.75 = 85.35 keys

Aug 20th 10PM - £148.17 / £1.76 = 84.19 keys

Aug 20th 11PM - £148.16 / £1.78 = 83.24 keys

Average of these:

(93.41 + 99.37 + 102.05 + 84.57 + 90.35 + 94.79 + 88.38 + 88.66 + 94.27 + 84.39 + 94.29 + 94.79 + 88.87 + 94.26 + 85.35 + 84.19 + 83.24) / 17 = 90.90 keys

450 + 91 = 541 keys

This is a duped history, https://backpack.tf/item/3521089734, should be this one

Guess another duped sale much lower than clean

Thanks Lemons:

Thanks for adding to this with additional sales. I apologise for the delay in handling this also. After some deliberation, we believe that 740 flat would be the best way to go here. Despite the duped sales, I think solely using the clean ones will be fine.

If you could resuggest at 740 that would be wonderful.

Conclusion:

Running with 740 keys flat, praying another sale doesn't happen