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MP.TF Sales
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/631;5;u16
Sold for $104 on 6 Aug 2023
key @ $2.01
104/2.01 = 51.74 keys
Sold for $104 on 10 Aug 2023
key @ $1.97
104/1.97 = 52.79 keys
Sold for $120 on 19 Aug 2023
key @ $2.02
120/2.02 = 59.40 keys
Sales at 51, 52, 59
Rounding sales to 50 - 60 keys
51.74 would've rounded to 52, 52.79 to 53, and 59.40 to 59 thus giving you a range of 52-59, you didn't have to round them like you did. Regardless there's a seller at 55 keys for over a month which would probably make 59 too high and there's one other sale that you have to take a look at here:
https://backpack.tf/item/13013495472
Seller is still there, so you are right in that 60 is too high.
Feel free to put up a counter to this.