Mini for a Haunted Kraken Citizen Cane

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/10578459470

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1686787200/1692057600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1686787200/1686960000

No clue, probably a bot transfer?

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1687651200/1687824000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199001482319#!/compare/1655424000/1691107200

Might have been a mp.tf sale

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/9906014072

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329555644#!/compare/1686787200/1687651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1688342400/1688428800

Can't load seller inv

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1688428800/1688515200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198041108750#!/compare/1690070400/1690156800

Can't say for sure

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/9066925561

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1686355200/1686528000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1686268800/1686441600

Probably gambling

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097171432#!/compare/1687478400/1687737600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1687478400/1687737600

Untrace on buyer side

Sale 7

Listed, and then de-listed off mannco.store

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1693699200/1693785600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1693612800/1693785600

Can only match a bit of metal

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9009865540

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197984683993#!/compare/1690416000/1691020800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359901481#!/compare/1690675200/1691539200

No clue

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359901481#!/compare/1691539200/1692144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321856671#!/compare/1693526400/1693699200

No clue

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198321856671#!/compare/1693958400/1694131200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1693958400/1694044800

No clue

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/8760302764

Ignoring the buy into re-dump...

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1691452800/1691539200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1692144000/1692316800

No clue

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1692316800/1692835200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161297258#!/compare/1692144000/1692662400

Probably gambling

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161297258#!/compare/1692144000/1692662400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1693958400/1694044800

No clue

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/8983316948

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072681628#!/compare/1692921600/1693180800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1692921600/1693008000

40 keys?

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/8534441750

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1687046400/1687132800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078324219#!/compare/1687651200/1687910400

No clue

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/8493541404

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198347872221#!/compare/1690329600/1692144000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198018660075#!/compare/1691539200/1692576000

34 keys + Nether Wisps Taunt: Spent Well Spirits + Floppin' Frenzy Taunt: The Scooty Scoot + Showstopper Taunt: The Fubar Fanfare + Aurora Australis Taunt: The Headcase + Tour of Duty Ticket + Taunt: Fresh Brewed Victory

Adding up buyers / in-date prices...

34 + 3 + 2.55 + 2.45 + 1.45 + 1 = ~44 keys

Caps pretty easily at the sell order of 43 keys

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/8369993803

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050122621#!/compare/1683158400/1690934400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1691712000/1691798400

Can't load seller inv

Sale 19

Transfer between qs.store bots

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1691971200/1692057600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199391832430#!/compare/1691798400/1692057600

42 keys, matches with (13391947893 - A key on buyer side)

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/8355369866

Just gambling

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/8332198372

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198981913112#!/compare/1687478400/1687651200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1687824000/1687910400

Untrace on buyer side?

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1687651200/1687824000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064053988#!/compare/1588291200/1689724800

No clue

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31091;5;u135

$99.99 / $2.00 = ~50 keys (Jun 26)

$99.99 / $1.98 = ~51 keys (Jul 3)

$99.99 / $1.95 = ~51 keys (Jul 11)

$99.99 / $1.96 = ~51 keys (Jul 20)

$99.99 / $2.01 = ~50 keys (Aug 10)

$135.00 / $2.00 = ~68 keys (Aug 26)

$135.00 / $2.01 = ~68 keys (Aug 30)

Total Sales

40, 42, 43, 50, 50, 51, 51, 51, 68, 68

https://imgur.com/a/SsBSTrp

3 months at 50, 51 and above is high

40 was a buyer dump

Only a single buyer @43, including 42 should be fine

Sellers below 50 are relatively new

Taking 42 - 50 keys c: