Suggestion: Pumpkin Moon Brain-Warming Wear at 40–45 keys

Sold for 15 keys + a Strange Festive Backburner (8.5ish keys) + a Strange Festive Revolver (6.67 keys) + a Strange Pro KS Ambassador (6.13 keys) + a Strange Conniver's Kunai (6.5 keys) + a Festive Revolver x2 (26.44 ref each) + a Festive Chargin' Targe x2 (20.22 ref) + a Crossing Guard (5.33 ref) + a North Polar Fleece (8.55 ref) + a Mistaken Movember (7 ref) + a Bomber's Bucket Hat (1.66 ref) + a Wartime Warmth x2 (1.66 ref each) + a Smiling Somen (2.88 ref) + a Eyequarium (8.77 ref) + a Cargo Constructor x2 (3.11 ref) + a Snow Sleeves (4.55 ref) [took buyers for all except for the Strange Festive Backburner, taking Glad stats for that] = 15+8.5+6.67+6.13+6.5+0.93+0.71+0.09+0.15+0.12+0.02+0.06+0.05+0.15+0.11+0.08 = 45.27ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1691798400/1691884800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047816842#!/compare/1691539200/1692144000

Glad Page for the Backburner: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Festive%20Backburner

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/10778026503

Sale #9

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088764747#!/compare/1687305600/1687996800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141496043#!/compare/1689120000/1689292800

Sale #10

Sold for 40 keys (ID "13284641774" of the unusual match)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141496043#!/compare/1689897600/1690329600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103321828#!/compare/1689984000/1690416000

Sale #11

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198103321828#!/compare/1691020800/1693353600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1692921600/1693353600

Sale #12

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1693526400/1693785600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099098829#!/compare/1693526400/1694131200

Sale #13

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198099098829#!/compare/1694649600/1694822400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020681#!/compare/1694649600/1694822400

Sale #14

Untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108020681#!/compare/1694649600/1694822400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1694822400/1694908800

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/10749568793

Sale #15

Sold for 50 keys (ID "13525904451" of the unusual match)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052194031#!/compare/1690675200/1694649600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047918122#!/compare/1694131200/1694649600

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/10756195623

Sale #16

Only a ticket matches with IDs, untraceable-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050160312#!/compare/1687651200/1690156800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964195441#!/compare/1687219200/1688601600

Sale #17

Sold for 2 keys + an Australium Axtinguisher (9.87 keys) + an Australium Knife (21.32 keys) + a Hot Wheeler Unusualifier (8ish keys) + a Homerunner's Hobby Unusualifier (7.5 keys) + a Hot Wheeler (1.71 keys) = 2+9.87+21.32+8+7.5+1.71= 50.4ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197964195441#!/compare/1688601600/1688860800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198301336678#!/compare/1688169600/1688860800

Glad Stats for the Hot Wheeler Unusuallifier: https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20The%20Hot%20Wheeler%20Unusualifier&at=2023-09-23T00:03:45.793Z

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini for the Homerunner's Hobby Unusualifier

9/8/23 - 20.59/2.226 = 9.24ish keys

9/8/23 - 16.92/2.209 = 7.65ish keys

9/9/23 - 15.537/2.21 = 7.03ish keys

9/9/23 - 15.245/2.203 = 6.92ish keys 2x

9/9/23 - 19.85/2.197 = 9.03ish keys

9/12/23 - 14/2.265 = 6.18ish keys

9/14/23 - 20.584/2.26 = 9.10ish keys 5x

9/14/23 - 21.85/2.266 = 9.64ish keys

9/14/23 - 16.56/2.26 = 7.32ish keys

9/14/23 - 21.425/2.258 = 9.48ish keys

9/14/23 - 16.53/2.267 = 7.29ish keys

9/15/23 - 15.99/2.244 = 7.12ish keys

9/15/23 - 18.4/2.272 = 8.09ish keys

9/16/23 - 19.98/2.262 = 8.83ish keys

9/17/23 - 15.905/2.233 = 7.12ish keys

9/19/23 - 16.53/2.237 = 7.38ish keys

9/20/23 - 12.006/2.243 = 5.35ish keys

9/20/23 - 16.706/2.231 = 7.48ish keys

Key Prices

Sales @ 5.35, 6.18, 6.92, 6.92, 7.03, 7.12, 7.12, 7.29, 7.32, 7.38, 7.48, 7.65, 8.09, 8.83, 9.03, 9,10, 9.24, 9,48, 9.64

Would exclude anything above 9 given current seller but it has only been listed at that price for two days so it should be fine to take these sales

Taking 5.5-9.5 here

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30827;5;u201

MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $89.99 on June 25, 2023

Average Key Price @ $2ish

89.99/2 = 44.99ish keys

Unknown History

MP.TF Sale #2

Sold for $90 on August 16, 2023

Average Key Price @ $2.03ish

90/2.03 = 44.33ish keys

Unknown History

MP.TF Sale #3

Sold for $90 on September 1, 2023

Average Key Price @ $2.02

90/2.02 = 44.55ish keys

Unknown History

Sales @ 30, 40, 44, 45, 45, 45, 50, 50

Excluding 30 given buyers @ 33ish and the sales @ 50 given sellers on mp.tf being lower than that, would exclude 44 and 45 but the seller @ 42 is less than a day old and 45 is a common selling point

Taking 40-45 here