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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/13410781958
Sale #1
Sold for 21 keys (clean compare but nothing traces, should be fine however)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248458712#!/compare/1694649600/1695859200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058490092#!/compare/1694822400/1695168000
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $59.99 on September 21, 2023
Average Key Price @ $2.03ish
59.99/2.03 = 29.55ish keys
Most likely this
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31114;5;u290
Sales @ 21, 30
Taking 21-30 here
New sale:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079495608#!/compare/1699056000/1699142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198161711912#!/compare/1699056000/1699142400 - Bulk
Seller is unsold for 2+weeks at 25 keys - https://gyazo.com/df4fe181de701143674f191115f00c45
I also left a private mod comment a month ago saying it was unsold on Mp.tf for around 20 keys.
I'm not a big fan of the 21 sale either. If both compares showed 21 keys then I'd be more lenient, but only the buyer's side does. I've checked a handful of the IDs too and they aren't a close match.
I'd opt for leaving this unpriced for now.