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Updating with a new sale in a mini & edits to follow rules regarding rounding
Thanks for help from aj (checking histories), Varix (previous owner) on making this suggestion.
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/11279538137 (maybe duped? shows up in Toom's inv twice, separated.)
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091808119#!/compare/1696809600/1696896000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877565874#!/compare/1696550400/1696809600
sold to me for 270 keys
Sale 2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877565874#!/compare/1694736000/1694995200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1694822400/1694908800
Compares don't give full picture of the trade, but Varix has the record:
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/2066646882150889698/62814203770DFA0B2BF563EAF26D977D3501D209/
100 keys + Strange Festive Aus Sniper + Bubbling Beak (https://backpack.tf/item/1359146352) + Strange Festive SKS aus tomislav
tomi at 23, sniper at 35 from accepted price suggs at time of sale
requires mini on the beak:
-------------------------
Item 1: https://backpack.tf/item/1359146352
Sale 1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100488691#!/compare/1695600000/1695772800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836757260#!/compare/1695686400/1695772800
10 pure + Sunbeams Hunter in Darkness (requires mini mini)
minimini
------
item1: https://backpack.tf/item/6943129461
sale1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198836757260#!/compare/1695427200/1695600000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173925222#!/compare/1695427200/1695600000
conclusion: beams hunter not useable
------
Sale 2 (untrace thru bp compare, thanks Varix for trade screenshot)
https://steamuserimages-a.akamaihd.net/ugc/2066646882151368066/CB4FFEEABA8F73EE28BEA678F3DA7EA0FA80662C/
205keys (round to 210 due to bp price sugg rules)
Item ?
Sale 3: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/315;5;u34
mp.tf sold on 8/17 for $475, median key price on mp was $2.07 on 8/17 making the beak 229.46keys, rounding to 230
Feels high relative to current s/os on bp. By aj's advice, this is useable for a mini, but not for a price sugg on the beak.
Conclusion on beak mini: we have 210-230. Take mean 220 keys.
-----------------------
Sale 2 comes out to 100 + 23 + 35 + 220 = 378 keys, round to 380
Conclusion:
Sale 1 at 270 keys
Sale 2 at 380 keys
270 - 380 keys
This sugg has been up for a month, should I redo it?
Noticed the links for trade images expired (steam user images are temporary)
AA sale 2: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1zB5YTQbflyuIwFT578UIGIM2J4MyivLM/view?usp=drive_link
Beak sale 2 from mini: https://drive.google.com/file/d/145QhuNVzd03vvrUXdHW7LBARiMmw7WpY/view?usp=sharing
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/11279538137
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199073805105#!/compare/1692662400/1692835200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199365584645#!/compare/1692835200/1694390400
Hot Professional Killstreak Seriously Snowed Scotsman's Skullcutter (Field-Tested) matches
Rest unsure
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199365584645#!/compare/1694390400/1699315200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1694044800/1694390400
Untrace
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1694736000/1694822400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877565874#!/compare/1694736000/1694995200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198877565874#!/compare/1696550400/1696809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600
Given the earlier screenshots, I would be inclined to ignore both these trades, seems like some sort of bulk trade type deal and then a tradeback even
Sale 4, your sale
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1696809600/1696896000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198091808119#!/compare/1696809600/1696896000
270
I would just go 270 flat
I bought the hat from Varix - I'm not sure why the toom compare shows up in sale 4 (Proof: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1iAdUpCZ0PBxXVEBthb03EWMZx8reKusU/view?usp=sharing). Either there was an error causing bp to think there was a tradeback or a dupe(?) happened in that timeframe (if so, duped one untrace).
Not sure we'll get an answer for that - I've provided the receipts I can muster regarding sales #3/4 in aj's comment. Hopefully not a dupe scenario.
I've looked again and can see that:
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Frostbite+Armored+Authority&at=2023-09-15T03%3A15%3A00.000Z
400 key buyout from Toom
But since Varix resold to you for way cheaper in keys, I would just go with 270 flat again