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Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/13575492709
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198182810469#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085556501#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600
233 keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085556501#!/compare/1696982400/1697155200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1697414400/1697500800
Probably gambling
Everything else in this history is gambling / untrace
Item 2
https://backpack.tf/item/12895345179
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061456736#!/compare/1692576000/1692835200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073823378#!/compare/1692662400/1693785600
266 keys?
Item 3
https://backpack.tf/item/12160789871
Ignoring mannco.store stuff....
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058954965#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198123977378#!/compare/1697846400/1698019200
Added for a Celestial Summit Legendary Lid
Item 4
https://backpack.tf/item/10627485005
Untrace / gambling
Item 5
https://backpack.tf/item/8914841317
Skipping over the gambling / untrace....
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1693353600/1693526400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035334988#!/compare/1692316800/1693526400
No clue
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035334988#!/compare/1696636800/1696723200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1696636800/1696723200
237 keys?
Item 6
https://backpack.tf/item/8814877555
Sale 7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055084012#!/compare/1690329600/1691366400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198007051179#!/compare/1690675200/1691539200
No clue
Item 7
https://backpack.tf/item/7291873203
Sale 8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198418740133#!/compare/1694390400/1694476800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117410014#!/compare/1694044800/1694476800
No clue, beams crones was dumped afterwards anyways
Sale 9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117410014#!/compare/1694822400/1694908800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1694822400/1694908800
Can only match a handful of keys
Item 8
https://backpack.tf/item/4953941438
Sale 10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082924175#!/compare/1694131200/1694390400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1694044800/1694131200
No clue
Item 9
https://backpack.tf/item/4537280214
Sale 11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116720890#!/compare/1692144000/1693872000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054059301#!/compare/1693699200/1695168000
No clue
Mp.tf
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/920;5;u17
$700.00 / $2.04 = ~343 keys (Sep 4)
Total Sales
233, 237, 266, 343
5 months unsold @340, 343 is high
Rounding and running with 230 - 270 keys c:
(If I went with 233 - 266 the median would be .5 off (249.5), hopefully this is fine even though I'm rounding pure sales)
Im not sure if mannco sales are valid but there are multiple sales at around 300keys in october
Even if they were usable they're prolly a bit too high given the unsolds @~283
https://imgur.com/a/wkCruQQ
2 Scrapyard unsolds @ 268 support the drop