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Refreshing this since a new sale for it happened, should be fine to take this given that it is exactly a 5% change!
Item 1
https://backpack.tf/item/7246220527
Sale #1
Bulk sale-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198396756155#!/compare/1693958400/1694044800
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1693872000/1693958400
Sale #2
Sold for 180 keys (ID "13685877292" of the unusual matches)-
Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1697500800/1697587200
Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177290723#!/compare/1697500800/1697673600
MP.TF Sale #1
Sold for $400 on August 23, 2023
Average Key Price @ $2ish
400/2 = 200ish keys
Pretty sure its this
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30833;5;u119
Sales @ 180, 200
Taking 180-200 here :3