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accidentally posted last suggestion (sorry)
Sold for about 115 keys in items
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130802680#!/compare/1700092800/1701216000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046436519#!/compare/1701129600/1701216000…
Tyrolean recently sold for 130$ on SCM, I'll round that to 65 keys - https://imgur.com/a/RSn48aX
50 keys seems like a good price for the Billycock.
For the Purple Energy Titanium Tyrolean:
https://gyazo.com/2c2754710173a30a00efbf85c8cb4d10
SCM Key PrIce @ time of sale = $2.29
Sale price = $129.84
$129.84 / $2.29 = 56.70 → Rounded: 57 Keys
Only other traceable sale:
https://backpack.tf/item/13167364034
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104559253#!/compare/1699056000/1699142400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349017971#!/compare/1699056000/1699142400
39 Keys - Below current buy orders
For the Green Energy Counterfeit Billycock:
https://backpack.tf/item/11992587388
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069143099#!/compare/1700870400/1700956800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046436519#!/compare/1700870400/1700956800
You traded a Green Confetti Blast Defense and a Kill-a-Watt Flamehawk for the counterfeit billycock + 6 Keys
If the blast defense and flamehawk can be mini'ed, a value can be calculated for the counterfeit billycock.
Additionally, you can ask what Spongy Bubble paid for it to get another data point.
This should've been resuggested using the 57 key mini you provided Which I assume would put this at 107 (or 105 rounded)
The problem was that in addition to the wrong valuation on the Titanium tyrorean, no value was proven for the counterfeit billycock.