Sale 1:

Sold for 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000 - Near ID: 13933783331

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075100115#!/compare/1701388800/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/item/8916336912

(item was painted, which is why IDs don't match. Not that it matters if key histories match anyway)

= 40 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 31 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078144958#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102237820#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus - Gladiator confirms.

= 31 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198212776984#!/compare/1699315200/1699401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1699228800/1699315200

https://backpack.tf/item/2793303156

= 30 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 29 keys + a negligible amount of metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098630198#!/compare/1697846400/1697932800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199136084#!/compare/1697760000/1697846400

https://backpack.tf/item/2003943134

= 29 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242943568#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable, a good portion of keys match.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198242943568#!/compare/1699315200/1699401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1699315200/1699401600

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168729536#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168729536#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable. Potentially gambled afterwards, excluding "gambled" trades.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198175905570#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Sold, alongside a cheap unusual taunt, probably for keys and metal. Only the metal appears on the seller's end.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable

$7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145331385#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566

Untraceable. Some keys and metal appear on the seller's end.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015930489#!/compare/1699833600/1699920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1699833600/1699920000

https://backpack.tf/item/9965840628

Untraceable. Gambled prior.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111470451#!/compare/1700179200/1700265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1699920000/1700265600

https://backpack.tf/item/9267171090

Untraceable.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126679929#!/compare/1700265600/1700352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133234284#!/compare/1700092800/1703030400

https://backpack.tf/item/9267171090

Untraceable. I'm willing to bet this was a marketplace sale.

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198027711900#!/compare/1701302400/1703030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

https://backpack.tf/item/8916336912

Untraceable/bulk

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1695945600/1696032000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198158964214#!/compare/1686787200/1696291200

https://backpack.tf/item/7165640375

Untraceable. 15 keys match on buyer's end, some metal was involved too.

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1699142400/1699228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1699228800/1699315200

https://backpack.tf/item/5327018903

Untraceable

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199136084#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129008931#!/compare/1673136000/1702684800

https://backpack.tf/item/2003943134

Untraceable. However, most likely sold on marketplace. Couldn't find a B/O.

https://backpack.tf/item/11107443021 - gambled n stuff

Other Gladiator.tf Sales:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-11-21T14:47:50.512Z

32 keys, November 21st

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-11-18T14:47:50.512Z

29 keys + more than half a key in metal, November 18th

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-11-15T14:47:50.512Z

29 keys + more than half a key in metal, November 15th, 3x (????)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-11-07T14:47:50.512Z

29 keys + more than half a key in metal, November 7th

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-10-22T14:47:50.512Z

29 keys + a negligible amount of metal, October 22nd

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Galvanized%20Gibus&at=2023-10-21T14:47:50.512Z

29 keys + a negligible amount of metal, October 21st, 2x

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30003;5;u19

$69.99, December 15th

$68, November 30th

$68, November 28th

$68, November 19th

$69.99, October 20th

$69.99, October 15th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys were:

$1.73, December 15th

$1.72, November 30th

$1.77, November 28th (taking 1.72, the price appears to have fluctuated on the day, would be better to take the price of surrounding days instead)

$1.71, November 19th

$1.94, October 20th

$2.02, October 15th

69.99/1.73 = ~40 keys

68/1.72 = ~40 keys (2x)

68/1.71 = ~40 keys

69.99/1.94 = ~36 keys

69.99/2.02 = ~35 keys

Sellers/Buyers:

https://imgur.com/a/PbyZg6K

https://backpack.tf/item/11710883566 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/11107443021 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2003943134 - 40 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/9965840628 - $69.99

Buyers at 31 keys.

Sales at:

29

30

31

35 (marketplace)

36 (marketplace)

40 (5x, 4 from marketplace)

And an additional 3 sales at 29, 5 sales at 30, and 1 sale at 32, according to gladiator.tf.

Considering the fact that we have such an abundance of sales at or below what buy orders are up to, we absolutely can not ignore all the sales lower than them. Especially considering the fact that the only confirmed pure sale we have is way up at 40, weakly supported by marketplace sales.

I will keep 31 in the range, but the sales lower than 31 I will be excluding from the range.

Taking 31-40.