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Item
https://backpack.tf/item/1705767496
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167149339#!/compare/1697500800/1697587200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#!/compare/1697500800/1697587200
Bulk
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057344559#!/compare/1699660800/1699747200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1699660800/1699747200
Why is everything spelled here, despair
Ton of items + 29 keys for Wicked wick oni
Minis for sale 2:
-----
DJ Spats- no useable sales, taking buyorder for relevant spell
https://imgur.com/a/dCu2dXS
3
-----
PP Orb Planets Tossle- no useable for both spelled and nonspelled, taking buyorders
https://imgur.com/a/S20qBIm
19
-----
BPFPs Aces Hat of Cards- spelled has no useable sales, going off nonspelled instead
https://backpack.tf/item/9753512811
Sale 1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068732040#!/compare/1698105600/1698192000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132741569#!/compare/1698019200/1698192000
1 day quicksell, 83 keys
Sale 2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132741569#!/compare/1701993600/1702166400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128384643#!/compare/1697500800/1702166400
Sold for
Starstorm toad- 93
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/651b1f2dda436faefa051381
Spec ks aussie tomi- 21
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Specialized%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Tomislav&at=2023-12-09T23:08:19.503Z
Pro Ks aussie sticky - 39
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Stickybomb%20Launcher&at=2023-12-09T23:08:52.460Z
93 + 21 + 39 = 153
Ignoring sale 1 since it was a quicksale of a NON spelled item, 153 probably fits better for the spelled version.
153
-----
Wicked wick oni - 825
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/651de86d73d42c103304ff8f
-----
Total for sale 2 of the flamenco
825 - (3 + 19 + 153 + 290 = 621
621
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198337378097#!/compare/1700352000/1700438400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051516190#!/compare/1700265600/1700352000
Cash
Sale 4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199051516190#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200
Cash?
Sale 5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1701302400/1701388800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119500025#!/compare/1701216000/1701388800
Bulk for BF antlers
Sale 6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119500025#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000
Bulk, using for SF skullcap
Conclusion:
1 usable sale at 621, its a bit low probably since we took some values at buyorders; but, since this suggestion is still a massive raise, I dont see an issue with this price point at the moment.
Rounding 621 to 620
The spelled Planets Tossle has a sale for 50 Keys. 6 were for the Fast Learner
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140732688#!/compare/1705363200/1705449600
I think the Spats have a sale at ~3 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269484722#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000
The Hat of Cards had a spelled sale at 170. Since that's close enough to the non-spelled sales at 150 and 160, the suggested value works here.
https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65b15c8533921757df04d989
Also, that's 28 Keys, not 29. The sale here becomes 825 - (3 + 50 + 160 + 28) = 584, which can be rounded to 580 Keys.
New sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800 - Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000247762#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600 - Bulk
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199289676387#!/compare/1708905600/1708992000 - AF Pot + 2 DP Pencils + DP Rifleman + SGG Rancho
190 + (122 * 2) + 24 + 9 = 467, which can round to 470 Keys.
Pot sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148833495#!/compare/1707782400/1707955200 - 190
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000 - Bulk for a Phosphorous Veil
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800 - ?
Pencil sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000 - 135
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000 - 109
Rifleman sales:
https://imgur.com/a/iNUjOXs - 24 Keys
https://backpack.tf/item/11484193675 - History of that sale
Rancho sales:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040965652#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600 - 9 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215219582#!/compare/1706918400/1707264000 - 8 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050509345#!/compare/1706227200/1706659200 - ~6.5 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164351921#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400 - 8 Keys to quicksell.store
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1115;5;u3007 + https://backpack.tf/item/3667543844 ($35, high)
Jezzus supposedly paid 11 for theirs, but I don't have a picture of that right now. 9 Keys works until I get that.
470 - 580 works as a range here. 470 was >3 months after 580, but being within the (too long) time it took to review this, it's fine.
https://imgur.com/a/kM6BpHE - Here's the pic of the Rancho sale at 11, the Pencil sale at 135, and another Pencil sale at 136
There's actually a buyer at 109 for the Pencil, so 135 - 136 would be better there. that'd make the sale 494, which can round to 490 for the low end.