PRICING EVENT DECEMBER 2023

Challenge 23

Squad 2

@L3ORIC

@Bentry Suster

@Noblenaga

@!Breacher (Known Freebie Sniper)

@Clone_Three

@Dice

@Kalt

Resuggestion from here: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6590e181e43618d7bc027159

(Bentry gave up on this so I am sorting this out on my own, still credits to him and Shuffle Spy for all the hard work)

mini for Miami Nights Lil' Bitey

Devilish Diablo Hat Outta Hell- (Bentry)

item1:

https://backpack.tf/item/13849744838

to bot to mannco

item2:

https://backpack.tf/item/13143669108

sale2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996441106#!/compare/1689033600/1699833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536234593#!/compare/1699747200/1699833600

52 Keys

Near ID: 13233304604

Sellers inventory didn't updated for 1 week during this trade so its safe to assume that 52 keys were involved in this trade.

sale3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536234593#!/compare/1700006400/1700179200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173379387#!/compare/1699660800/1701043200

show 14 keys seller

sale4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078678953#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078678953#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

QS to QS buyer

show 22 keys

item3:

https://backpack.tf/item/12670331286

sale5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198364925952#!/compare/1696636800/1699401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963192644#!/compare/1698019200/1703635200

?

sale6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963192644#!/compare/1698019200/1703721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198203778081#!/compare/1696723200/1698710400

?

item4:

https://backpack.tf/item/11722916503

sale7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198188093413#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226715565#!/compare/1701648000/1702598400

?

item5:

https://backpack.tf/item/11423006936

sale8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197991692581#!/compare/1698019200/1701129600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198945892301#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200

?

item6:

https://backpack.tf/item/11326682413

sale9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1696809600/1696896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209769009#!/compare/1696550400/1696809600

57 keys

sale10:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209769009#!/compare/1700352000/1701820800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198097150194#!/compare/1700179200/1701475200

57 keys

item7:

https://backpack.tf/item/10906412856

sale11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075368942#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533260966#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

?

sale12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199533260966#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967164723#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

?

sale13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967164723#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199526284857#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

Sunbeams Brim of Fire + 4 keys

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/659234cfd3b216c48e047494

~62 keys

(Credits to Icycrevasse for the mini)

item8:

https://backpack.tf/item/10862308696

sale14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068654733#!/compare/1696291200/1696377600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047544122#!/compare/1695945600/1696377600

bulk to Collector's Professional Killstreak Ambassador

sale15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047544122#!/compare/1696464000/1696636800

bulk to Nebula Universal Translator

sale16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1697932800/1700092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000518945#!/compare/1697846400/1697932800

?

item8:

https://backpack.tf/item/10813354574

sale17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1700179200/1700265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239564138#!/compare/1700092800/1700265600

52 Keys?

item9:

https://backpack.tf/item/10760198366

sale18:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199076185709#!/compare/1698537600/1700092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1700006400/1700092800

bulk to Miami Nights Lil' Bitey

sale19:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1700179200/1700265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198180228863#!/compare/1699920000/1700265600

Searing Plasma Tundra Top+https://backpack.tf/item/910952900

looks a bit low 42BO+1=43

item10:

https://backpack.tf/item/10747356240

sale20:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050052801#!/compare/1696723200/1698192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066177907#!/compare/1696723200/1696809600

Burning Flames Roaming Roman+3 keys

only 1 items sale :https://backpack.tf/item/11549750386

seller sold to bot

https://imgur.com/1iAlEFf

buyer @ 55 keys

58 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31216;5;u190

sale1:

2023-11-18

159.99/1.72=93.01744

93 keys

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Devilish%20Diablo%20Hat%20Outta%20Hell/658d867d5a687659a301c0f2

seller @ 80 keys buyer @ 49 keys

Update from Shuffle Spy:

Since you didn't link it, the bot sale in item 1 isn't traceable.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053811988#!/compare/1701216000/1701302400

The histories don't match the 52 Keys in sale 2, so more evidence will be needed to confirm that sale.

You missed a sale between sales 3 and 4.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078678953#!/compare/1701561600/1701820800 - The 4 Unusuals shown here + 4 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198173379387#!/compare/1701734400/1701820800 - They were each quicksold for a total of 61 Keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Devilish%20Diablo%20Hat%20Outta%20Hell&at=2023-12-23T19:38:00.505Z - Sale 4 was 52 Keys

That means it went sale 3 (75) -> 61 -> sale 4 (52). If 75 isn't considered usable, then why is it being used in the range here?

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Devilish%20Diablo%20Hat%20Outta%20Hell/657173d874086ae86202817a - Sale 7 was listed for ~62 Keys

This also makes 75 seem high with all of the lower stuff.

The Nether Void Schadenfreude in sale 8 matches, but I hope more was involved.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055421322#!/compare/1701734400/1701820800 - The Medi Gun seen in sale 10 sold for 48 Keys

Sale 10 is then 57 Keys with the 9 you can see in the seller's compare.

Sale 12 was the Sunbeams Practitioner + the Hat Outta Hell for the Scorching Brass Bucket, but that sale won't be usable here.

The Sunbeams Brim of Fire is outdated and has recent sales, so why was a mini not made? It has 3 recent traceable sales.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198377865437#!/compare/1696204800/1696291200 - Haven't counted the Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189451937#!/compare/1696982400/1697414400 - Haven't counted the Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198393480198#!/compare/1697500800/1697846400 - 58 Keys

You missed a sale between sales 15 and 16, but it isn't traceable.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218497692#!/compare/1696636800/1696723200

Your seller compare link in sale 16 is wrong and misses the sale entirely.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200 - 32 Keys + Fireflies Brothers in Blues + Cyclone Yeti Smash

Keys on the buyer's side can be traced and counted in sale 17. I have a feeling not all of the Keys are showing, but you'll need confirmation of that.

The Burning Roman has more sales that you didn't count here as seen in the suggestion made for it. However, that sale should be used for the Roman.

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/658f088361196141390ad4d5

The sale on this history was also missed - https://backpack.tf/item/10760895468

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111648936#!/compare/1698537600/1698624000 - 58 Keys

I agree 75 shouldn't be part of the range because of the dump-off in value. The Brim of Fire will need to be looked into further, as will sales 2, 16, and 17.

sale2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199536234593#!/compare/1699747200/1699833600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198996441106#!/compare/1699833600/1703894400

52 Keys?

sale16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311228706#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800Silver Cyclone Taunt: Yeti Smash:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Silver%20Cyclone%20Taunt:%20Yeti%20Smash&at=2023-12-31T00:52:57.288Z

2.5 keys

Fireflies Brothers in Blues:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093300204#!/compare/1647388800/1701734400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198928388508#!/compare/1701216000/1702080000

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198317171754#!/compare/1696723200/1696896000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063402284#!/compare/1696723200/1696896000

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198988396980#!/compare/1697932800/1698192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075267569#!/compare/1702425600/1702425600

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198126133559#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031246215#!/compare/1651708800/1701648000

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1698710400/1698796800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078552843#!/compare/1698710400/1699056000

1 key

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311228706#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124054313#!/compare/1667952000/1702857600

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1699142400/1699228800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198360351051#!/compare/1698624000/1699142400

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000518945#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1697932800/1698019200

here

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199502156612#!/compare/1698019200/1698710400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802360768#!/compare/1697500800/1698019200

bulk to Searing Plasma Hat Outta Hell

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198802360768#!/compare/1698019200/1698192000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132961995#!/compare/1698105600/1698192000

+20 keys to Fireflies Flame Warrior

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132961995#!/compare/1698364800/1698537600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058740774#!/compare/1698019200/1698537600

18 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068986329#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198909167310#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

show 9 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125290682#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068986329#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600

bulk to Scorching Flames Prince Tavish's Crown

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226606088#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198125290682#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Force-A-Nature

Past 7 days

6 @ 23 keys 15 ref

1 @ 24 keys 10 ref

23 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859876939#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199226606088#!/compare/1703462400/1703635200

19 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199044886703#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198859876939#!/compare/1703203200/1703462400

show 2 keys

18, 19, 23

take 21 keys

55 keys

sale17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239564138#!/compare/1700092800/1700265600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1700179200/1700265600

?

More updates from Shuffle Spy :D

Sale 4 at 52 Keys was excluded here because...?

Did you bother to count the Keys for the Sunbeams Brim? That's your supposed 63 Key sale, but again, nothing recent supports that.

If you round the Brothers in Blues from 20.5 (what 18 - 23 would average to) to 21 and then again from 55.5 to 56 for the sale, you're adding a Key.

That should be 55 Keys, but other Brothers in Blues sales were missed.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199115060021#!/compare/1697068800/1697328000 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1697241600/1697414400 - Bulk for something

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054270952#!/compare/1697760000/1697846400 - 3 Keys show

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fireflies%20Brothers%20in%20Blues&at=2023-10-21T23:47:26.352Z - It should be one of these 17 Key sales

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198166035040#!/compare/1649721600/1697673600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1697846400/1697932800 - 16 Keys (see imgur album)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199232380670#!/compare/1699056000/1699142400 - 16 Keys (see imgur album)

https://imgur.com/a/2D91kwa

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fireflies%20Brothers%20in%20Blues&at=2023-12-31T23:47:26.352Z - A more recent 17 Key sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199244659#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800 - Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008840775#!/compare/1702771200/1703116800 - Don't know how many Keys were for the Brothers

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198008840775#!/compare/1703376000/1703894400 - 17 Keys + ~1 Key of items

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199037684057#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200 - IDs match the 19 Keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198376624864#!/compare/1701648000/1702080000 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102396832#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400 - Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198102396832#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600 - 3 Keys appear

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163289648#!/compare/1702080000/1702252800 - Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1696032000/1696118400 - IDs match with 15 Keys (low)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202208101#!/compare/1697760000/1697846400 - 40 Keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1697846400/1697932800 - Bulk sale

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1698883200/1698969600 - ?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198141685007#!/compare/1701043200/1701129600 - ?

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Fireflies%20Brothers%20in%20Blues&at=2023-11-02T02:12:08.876Z - Unknown potential sale at 22

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31356;5;u291 - 3 sales at $59.99 (34, 35, and 35 Keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Professional%20Killstreak%20Australium%20Force-A-Nature&at=2024-01-01T02:52:06.470Z - You forgot this

The "9 Key" sale was 9 Keys + the Cloud 9 Tam O'Shanter which quicksold for the 17 Keys + 1 Key of Refined you see in the seller's compare.

That makes all of the Brothers in Blues sales 15, 16 x2, 17 x7, 18 x3, 19 x2, 22 (maybe), 23, 34, 35, 35, 40 (?). 18 - 23 would still work.

We can see 52 Keys in sale 17, so if that's the full sale, that's been excluded.. why?

Instead of looking into that or sale 2, you just linked the sales again with no explanation.

I'm not trying to come off as rude, but the effort put into correcting some of the issues in my last comment feels lazy.

More work needs to be done. I'd encourage your team to take more time in actually looking into the things I told you to.

All Sales:

52, 55, 57, 58, 61, 62

Going with 52-62 Keys.

I hope this works now. :)

Current Classifieds:

https://imgur.com/a/IJTeNFQ