Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487580685#!/compare/1702252800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/item/13815425656

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance/6575eeabf84cba0287008aad

https://imgur.com/a/slTa262 - was listed for ~6.8 keys

= 7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099210877#!/compare/1703376000/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/item/11132656304

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance&at=2023-12-31T14:24:05.177Z - gladiator confirms.

= 6 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199142483868#!/compare/1702166400/1704326400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

https://backpack.tf/item/3668855879

5 keys were used on the Dynamite Abs that appear on the seller's end, hence why the seller's name doesn't appear in the item's history for those keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199506815556#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

= 6 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 5 keys + 10 ref (~5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057954897#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200 - Near ID: 13823134848 (metal only)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189814852#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200 - Keys visible at the bottom of the link

https://backpack.tf/item/7284399136

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance&at=2023-11-23T14:08:50.969Z - gladiator confirms

= 5 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199093977898#!/compare/1699574400/1702425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1699660800/1699747200

https://backpack.tf/item/11665038920

Bulk/Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1699833600/1699920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1700092800/1700179200

https://backpack.tf/item/11665038920

Untraceable. Missing info in history.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198971522153#!/compare/1702512000/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198121191976#!/compare/1671062400/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/item/10576462655

SCM

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199171132199#!/compare/1700438400/1700784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1700352000/1700438400

https://backpack.tf/item/9661641716

Backpack buy

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198100984172#!/compare/1700265600/1700352000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057954897#!/compare/1700265600/1700352000

https://backpack.tf/item/7284399136

Bulk for Haunted Wick Sky High Fly Guy

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189814852#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/item/7284399136

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance&at=2023-12-17T14:08:50.969Z - labelled as 7 keys

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186718459#!/compare/1702771200/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/7284399136

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198963345556#!/compare/1702684800/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198433345421#!/compare/1685318400/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/item/5425919735

Untraceable/bulk

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198223191956#!/compare/1699488000/1699920000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198801168467#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/item/4086079885

Untraceable. Missing info in history.

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150382528#!/compare/1703376000/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/3207433754

Untraceable

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703462400/1703548800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1703462400/1703548800

https://backpack.tf/item/3207433754

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Square%20Dance&at=2023-12-26T14:24:05.177Z - labelled as 6 keys

Untraceable. Would've been bought from one bot then dumped onto the other without scanning in the buyer's backpack.

Item went to the bot owner afterwards.

https://backpack.tf/item/3498722882 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/2814224185 - marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1106;5;u3003

$19.99, December 21st

$19.99, December 25th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

Keys were:

$1.68 on December 21st

$1.64 on December 25th

19.99/1.68 = ~11.9, rounds to 12 keys

19.99/1.64 = ~12.2, rounds to 12 keys

(I'm aware the key price on the 25th probably shouldn't be used, and I should be using an average price from around the time, but it really doesn't matter here)

No current sellers.

Sales at:

5

6 (2x)

7

12 (2x, marketplace)

The marketplace sales are large outliers, and have less weighting than key sales. Excluding 12.

5 is below buyers, and isn't a common trading point. Excluding 5.

Taking 7 keys flat.