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It's been 5 years since I've done one of these
~~~~~ Sales ~~~~~
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31313;5;u265
two mp.tf sales
#1:
12/20/23 @$33.33 key price was $1.70
33.33/1.70 =19.65 keys
#2
1/3/2024 @$29.95 by yours truly, key price 1.69
29.95/1.69 =17.72 keys
~~~~~ Others Sales ~~~~~
Untraceable:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031920281#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
Seller @15.47 keys in classies to support low end
Instabuyers @11.55 keys in classies supports general range
https://backpack.tf/item/13811384571
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1705449600/1705536000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199086055951#!/compare/1681776000/1707782400
Sold for ~17 in items, probably had a lower buyout though. I think this is the 15 seller you mention, which means your low-end has more support now.
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31313;5;u265
Sold 3 times for $34.99
34.99 /1.69 = ~20.7
This is close enough, accepting