Price Suggestion
~2.45 keys
grail
Unusual Taunt: Disco Fever Holy Grail
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Comments

Only using last month, due to the minor gap between sellers and buyers. Should be treated similar to non-unusuals.


Sale 1:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 51.66 ref (~2.8 keys)


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138274946#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/item/8402163312

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-01-06T13:47:53.610Z - gladiator confirms


= 2.8 keys


Sale 2:

Sold for 2 keys + 47.22 ref (~2.75 keys)


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138274946#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/item/8402163312


= 2.75 keys


#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

https://backpack.tf/item/13209347649

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-18T13:15:23.496Z - labelled as 2 keys + 42.22 ref


#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198912596778#!/compare/1703376000/1704067200

https://backpack.tf/item/13209347649

Sold for 3 keys?

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-31T13:23:42.446Z - labelled as 2 keys + 52.33 ref

Can't confirm the sale, but I'm certain metal went to the buyer as change for the 3rd key.


#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199014331672#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

https://backpack.tf/item/11957637007

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-15T13:23:42.446Z - labelled as 2 keys + 36.55 ref

Untraceable. Gambled prior.


#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/item/11098266167

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-19T13:23:42.446Z - labelled as 2 keys + 44.66 ref


#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

https://backpack.tf/item/9872818206

Untraceable


#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

https://backpack.tf/item/8130818619

Untraceable


#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523966783#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600

https://backpack.tf/item/6277851792

Sold with a scrap for 3 keys?

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-01-08T13:40:36.392Z - labelled as 2 keys + 52.33 ref

Same situation as #2


#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049204840#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200 (seller bot's owner)

https://backpack.tf/item/6277851792

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-22T13:46:50.710Z - labelled as 2 keys + 50.33 ref

Untraceable


#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198327569570#!/compare/1703376000/1703721600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/item/8402163312

Untraceable


https://backpack.tf/item/5164495153 - gambled


Here are all the Gladiator sales within the last month:


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-01-08T13:47:53.610Z - ~Jan 8th

2 keys + 52.33 ref (~2.8 keys)

Seen in #7


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-31T13:47:53.610Z - ~December 31st

2 keys + 52.33 ref (~2.8 keys)

Seen in #2


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-27T13:47:53.610Z - ~27th December

2 keys + 51.66 ref (~2.8 keys)


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-23T13:47:53.610Z - ~23rd December

2 keys + 51.66 ref (~2.8 keys)


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-22T13:47:53.610Z - ~22nd December

2 keys + 50.33 ref (~2.8 keys)


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-19T13:47:53.610Z - ~19th December

2 keys + 44.66 ref (~2.7 keys)

Seen in #4


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-18T13:47:53.610Z - ~18th December

2 keys + 42.22 ref (~2.65 keys)

Seen in #1


https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2023-12-15T13:47:53.610Z - ~15th December

2 keys + 36.55 ref (~2.55 keys)

Seen in #3


You can see a clear increase in buying price here as the time approached closer to today, hence why I opted to only look at the last month worth of sales.


Sellers/Buyers:

https://imgur.com/a/mILgiyN

https://backpack.tf/item/5179817482 - 2 keys + 52.33 ref (~2.8 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/8130818619 - 2 keys + 52.33 ref (~2.8 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/4967859345 - 4 keys

Buyer are less than a refined metal off, at 2 keys + 51.66 ref.


Sales at:

2.75 keys

2.8 keys


Unconfirmed Gladiator sales at:

2.55

2.65

2.7

2.8 (5x)


2.8 is quite a clear common trading point, and 2.75 is below current buyers. Excluding 2.75.

Taking 2.8 flat.

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523966783#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400

    https://backpack.tf/item/6277851792

    https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Disco%20Fever&at=2024-01-15T11:36:37.409Z - labelled as 2 keys + 51.66 ref (Rounds to ~2.8 keys)

    Untraceable


    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

    https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000

    https://backpack.tf/item/5164495153

    Untraceable, missing info in history


    https://backpack.tf/item/4983612063 - unusualified


    https://imgur.com/a/MjJTDJb

    Sellers and buyers have scattered. Lowest seller is 3 keys, the 2nd one that was listed for ~2.8 keys has hidden their listings, most likely, and the first one raised their sell order to ~3.8 keys. Highest buyer is now ~2.2 keys. Might keep it at 2.8, due to that being the most common trading point still.