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~3.03 keys
grail
Unusual Taunt: Second Rate Sorcery Holy Grail
56 votes up
3 votes down
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Comments

Sale 1:

Sold for 3 keys + ~0.1 keys in metal


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198421652838#!/compare/1703808000/1704240000 - Near ID: 14003844869

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038828427#!/compare/1703894400/1704499200

https://backpack.tf/item/8764768007


= 3.1 keys


Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 47.66 ref (~2.75 keys)


https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1703635200/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/item/7436870685

Buyer's compare is better to look at, seller's has a bunch of other keys and metal from other trades grouped together.


= 2.75 keys


Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1701216000/1701302400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154992882#!/compare/1701216000/1704585600

https://backpack.tf/item/13811336035

Something involving a Delightful Star Results are In

Don't know if anything's missing, but I don't really want to use it here without a B/O cap.


#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199394463680#!/compare/1703462400/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/10205593901

Bulk/untraceable


#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199373684490#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/item/10205593901

4 keys match, but B/O was ~3.15 keys

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery/658b1bf02022b5eae4076c71

https://imgur.com/a/dFTl7f4

Can't really confirm this sale.


#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311733458#!/compare/1703116800/1704931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084104413#!/compare/1669075200/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/item/9076106762

Untraceable


#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198128141636#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198105071091#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/7436870685

Bulk backpack buy


#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

https://backpack.tf/item/7436870685

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2023-12-31T13:18:26.200Z - labelled as 3 keys

Untraceable. We can clearly see the 3 keys it would've sold for, but we can't verify the buyer. It definitely sold to a gambler and ruined the history.

The rest of the item's history is a gambling mess.


#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198357377370#!/compare/1702771200/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199032721186#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/item/5219459737

Untraceable.

The item was heavily involved in gambling again afterwards.


#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094818081#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199098694108#!/compare/1704240000/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/item/5192792925

Untraceable. Bulk or a bot transfer.


#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199224809570#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657


#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143864870#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657

4 keys + a bunch of metal match, but there's no way a bot bought it for that much here.


#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000 - Near ID: 13980857136

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199050174055#!/compare/1703808000/1703980800

https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657

Untraceable. 4 keys match, but there were sellers for much cheaper at the time, I doubt nothing was added with the taunt. Even if it was 4 keys, the buyer re-sold to a bot a week later.

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery/658dc2aeea474df8260226ff


#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199050174055#!/compare/1704499200/1704931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657

Untraceable.


Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30816;5;u3003

$7.67, December 23rd


https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were 1.67 at the time

7.67/1.67 = ~4.59, rounds to 4.6


Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/aq5ZfXB

https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657 ~4.45 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5187502585 - 11 keys


Sales at:

2.75

3.1

4.6 (marketplace)


2.75 is too low now with buyers nearly at 3 keys. Excluding 2.75.

There's currently not much to exclude 4.6, and there were potentially higher sales that occurred that I couldn't confirm. Additionally, the buyers are .1 off of the only pure sale we have here now. Might not be long before they match the sale.

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2023-12-04T13:48:51.025Z - sale at ~3.6 keys near the start of December. Supports the inclusion of 4.6.

Taking 3.1-4.6.

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198395914682#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

      https://backpack.tf/item/11112915622

      https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2024-01-24T14:01:06.078Z - labelled as 3 keys + 9.22 ref

      Untraceable. 1 key and 1 scrap match.


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198324189263 (backpack won't update, no keys in fallback so untraceable anyways)

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1705968000/1706054400

      https://backpack.tf/item/8382213149

      https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2024-01-24T14:01:06.078Z - labelled as 3 keys + 9.22 ref

      Untraceable


      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198129364163#!/compare/1705968000/1706313600

      https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

      https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Second%20Rate%20Sorcery&at=2024-01-23T14:01:06.078Z - labelled as 3 keys + 9.22 ref

      https://backpack.tf/item/5219459737

      Untraceable, only the scrap matches.

      Gambled prior.


      https://backpack.tf/item/7190327060 - gambled


      Although they're all untraceable, they heavily support the inclusion of ~3.1 keys in the range, despite buyers now climbing higher.


      New sellers:

      https://imgur.com/a/vtjnKYP

      https://backpack.tf/item/10205593901 - ~3.95 keys

      https://backpack.tf/item/5219459737 - ~3.95 keys

      https://backpack.tf/item/5190056657 - ~4.45 keys

      https://backpack.tf/item/11112915622 - 6 keys

      https://backpack.tf/item/5187502585 - 11 keys


      The 4.6 sale is now going to be an outlier with the new sellers. I'll keep this open, so i can track this easier, in the hopes that one sells while this is up. I'm hoping for a new sale from one of the cheapest sellers.

          no new developments since the last comment, just gonna close this, not worth keeping it up. will try come back to it once new sales occur.