https://backpack.tf/item/2188835315

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198025263283#!/compare/1699574400/1699660800

?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062425416#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210322871#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2023-12-29T13:14:00.000Z

It was listed at 340 keys, may have been that or possibly less given the lower listing

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210322871#!/compare/1704672000/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The+Smissmas+Caribou&at=2024-01-10T00%3A37%3A00.000Z

Seems to have been dumped for 300 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150101707#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2024-01-20T00:43:28.000Z

340 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2213980524

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098751416#!/compare/1702339200/1703721600

Gift

https://backpack.tf/item/2219212423

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072098273#!/compare/1700006400/1700092800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198287940798#!/compare/1699833600/1700092800

Haunted Ghosts Ye Olde Baker Boy + The Bone Zone Bottle Cap + ?, Bottle has no sales

https://backpack.tf/item/2239570879

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120797495#!/compare/1700784000/1700956800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2023-11-24T10:10:25.000Z

333 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2241967481

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198077087560#!/compare/1700697600/1700784000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043300035#!/compare/1700611200/1700784000

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2023-11-23T12:31:54.000Z

Strange Gunslinger + 20 keys?, seems incomplete

https://backpack.tf/item/2237150234

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056666757#!/compare/1702944000/1703116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199147834131#!/compare/1703203200/1705449600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2023-12-21T22:30:34.000Z

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199147834131#!/compare/1703203200/1705449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134214128#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

Dumped to scrap.tf

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134214128#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247307172#!/compare/1703376000/1703548800

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2023-12-26T22:58:46.000Z

Bought from scrap.tf

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198247307172#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116849874#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2024-01-26T22:33:58.000Z

Dumped back to scrap.tf

https://gyazo.com/219f73527ade35704bccd7039bd531cc

Potentially dumped for 300, then bought for 330, then re-dumped for 300

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116849874#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075299322#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://gyazo.com/25b97686c3bdb0c1ab1581bfb584afcd

330 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/2209351398

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970897660#!/compare/1706140800/1706400000

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2024-01-28T15:52:32.000Z - 340 B/O

VFB Circling Peace Sign Respectless Rubber Glove (14+) + Skill Gotten Gains Taunt: Conga (16) + Specialized Killstreak Black Rose (255, https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Black%20Rose&at=2024-01-29T06:24:12.417Z) + Strange Grim Tweeter (30) + Stellar Ascent Elf Esteem (26, https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Stellar%20Ascent%20Elf%20Esteem&at=2023-12-29T06:18:08.923Z) + Sparkly Spruce Taunt: The Schadenfreude (https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198950764798#!/compare/1703376000/1703548800?, Sold a while ago at ~38 https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/463;5;u3079 Buyers at ~17) + Non-Craftable Pile of Robo Community Crate Key Gifts??? (27) = 14 + 16 + 255 + 30 + 26 + 17 + (27) = At least 358, would cap at 340 key buyout.

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/The%20Smissmas%20Caribou

Nov 11, ~236 keys

Nov 13, ~256 keys

Jan 11, ~357 keys

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1076;6

$625/1.8 = ~347 keys

$634.88/1.75 = ~363 keys

Sales:

236

256

300

330

333

340

340

347

357

363

https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=The%20Smissmas%20Caribou&at=2024-01-29T06:31:22.979Z

Buyers at ~291, up to 320. Several week unsolds at 337 and 340, year old unsold at 345.

Sales below 291 are clearly too low, above 340 too high. Given the most recent sales at 330 and 340, going to take 300 - 340.