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Using last 2 months.
Sale 1:
Sold with 4 ref for ~3.4 keys worth of taunts
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167450649#!/compare/1706572800/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/item/10410041245
https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick/65b85c98fcbb25c9790559d7 - B/O of ~2.6 keys
= 2.6 keys (Capped at B/O)
Sale 2:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 4 ref (~0.1 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167450649#!/compare/1706572800/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/item/10410041245
= 2.1 keys
Sale 3:
Sold to a bot with a Fountain of Delight Profane Puppeteer for 4 keys + 16 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163665060#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600
https://backpack.tf/item/7390802596
The bot had a generic buy order for any unusual Party Trick for 2 keys + 4 ref, and any unusual Profane Puppeteer for ~2.15 keys (around 2 keys + 11 ref. Should be safe to value the party trick at 2.1 keys here.
https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Unusual%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick/65b92e13876b097a5d081ec9
https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Unusual%20Taunt:%20The%20Profane%20Puppeteer/65b9b99898bd8262730612de
https://imgur.com/a/gxXwQiJ
= 2.1 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038195270#!/compare/1702512000/1706054400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207300159#!/compare/1702512000/1705190400
https://backpack.tf/item/12972808417
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199207300159#!/compare/1705190400/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400
https://backpack.tf/item/12972808417
Bulk for Tropical Thrill Throttlehead
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199438386076#!/compare/1703548800/1703980800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967037082#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800
https://backpack.tf/item/12352169033
Sold for Festive Medi Gun. Well below buyers, excluding.
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130689358#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154777866#!/compare/1702080000/1702166400
https://backpack.tf/item/12119860813
Untraceable
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198154777866#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198073016365#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400
https://backpack.tf/item/12119860813
https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick/65a8ed4def54e5f9d40d478d - was listed for ~2.6 keys
Untraceable. 2 keys + 8 ref match on the buyer's end. I'm assuming all the correct metal was the metal that didn't go to Dolphin bot, but I can't confirm.
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198858001037#!/compare/1704153600/1704326400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1704067200/1704153600
https://backpack.tf/item/10410041245
Untraceable. Static Shock Party Trick was involved.
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198167450649#!/compare/1706572800/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/item/10410041245
Untraceable
#8
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600
https://backpack.tf/item/7890155830
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2023-12-13T10:47:06.570Z - labelled as 2 keys + 26.55 ref
Untraceable. Most likely flipped for profit between bots without being scanned in a backpack.
#9
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163665060#!/compare/1704844800/1705795200
https://backpack.tf/item/7390802596
Untraceable. 2 keys + 21.66 ref matches on the buyer's end. The item was listed for 2.6 keys, with buyers at 2.5, so more metal would've been involved, but isn't traceable.
https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick/659fd0ce5a00d91ec8014e11
#10
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199100916994#!/compare/1704844800/1706572800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800
https://backpack.tf/item/5670755269
Untraceable
#11
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200
https://backpack.tf/item/5670755269
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2024-01-11T10:50:01.022Z - labelled as 2 keys + 32.77 ref
Untraceable. Same deal as #8
#12
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132198012#!/compare/1701993600/1702080000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198416086593#!/compare/1701993600/1702339200
https://backpack.tf/item/4728483280
Untraceable. Probably was the bot's former owner.
#13
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006879370#!/compare/1703203200/1703548800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
https://backpack.tf/item/4531828462
Untraceable/bulk
#14
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400 - Near ID: 14048149083
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199238154285#!/compare/1705708800/1705881600 (no prior compare links)
https://backpack.tf/item/4531828462
Untraceable. 2 keys match.
#15
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1706659200/1706572800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1706659200/1706572800
https://backpack.tf/item/3855624267
Same deal as #8
#16
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199118190771#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800
https://backpack.tf/item/2802398250
Untraceable/Bulk. Wasn't unusual prior to this sale.
#17
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199004651939#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199570980864#!/compare/1701561600/1703116800
https://backpack.tf/item/2742446839
Probably a backpack buy
#18
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199570980864#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215219582#!/compare/1702944000/1703116800
https://backpack.tf/item/2742446839
Untraceable/Bulk
#19
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215219582#!/compare/1703116800/1703462400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
https://backpack.tf/item/2742446839
Untraceable/Bulk
#20
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1702339200/1703548800
https://backpack.tf/item/2742446839
Untraceable. Listed on marketplace before being scanned in buyer's backpack.
#21
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198151373000#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000
https://backpack.tf/item/13785738655
Same deal as #20
https://backpack.tf/item/4489612456 - mannco
Unconfirmed Gladiator Sales:
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2024-01-11T11:25:45.113Z - ~January 11th
2 keys + 32.77 ref (~2.5 keys), seen in #11
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2023-12-13T11:25:45.113Z - ~December 13th
2 keys + 26.55 ref (~2.4 keys), seen in #8
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2023-12-10T11:25:45.113Z - ~December 10th
2 keys + 19.44 ref (~2.3 keys)
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Party%20Trick&at=2023-12-03T11:25:45.113Z - ~December 3rd
2 keys + 7 ref (~2.1 keys)
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/Re776vg
https://backpack.tf/item/5210376046 - ~2.6 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3488528300 - ~2.6 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3174205223 - ~2.6 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/2950142324 - ~2.6 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/5670755269 - 4 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/4778573018 - 5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/10179029094 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/9818478337 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/12657394985 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/2742446839 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/13785738655 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5745219885 - marketplace
Sales at:
2.1(2x)
2.6
+ Gladiator's unconfirmed sales at:
2.1
2.3
2.4
2.5
The gladiator sales fit into the range.
Buyers seem to be somewhat successful at 2.1 keys, keeping 2.1 in the range.
Taking 2.1-2.6 keys.