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Sale 1:
Sold with negligible metal for 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055018955#!/compare/1704412800/1704585600
https://backpack.tf/item/7403754227
= 12 keys
Sale 2:
Sold for 11 keys + 26 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1704067200/1704153600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198433537732#!/compare/1704067200/1704585600
https://backpack.tf/item/5269025198
= 11 keys
Sale 3:
Sold to a bot for 10 keys? + 49.22 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198433537732#!/compare/1705622400/1705968000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Victory%20Lap&at=2024-01-21T01:48:47.695Z - Labelled as 10 keys + 49.22 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/5269025198
We see the exact amount of metal on the seller's end. Should be fine to assume this did sell for what it was labelled as. The keys would've been spent on the hat the seller bought later.
= 11 keys
Sale 4:
Sold to a bot for 10 keys + 22.66 ref
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198345578899#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102777012#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Victory%20Lap&at=2024-01-14T01:38:42.588Z - gladiator confirms
https://backpack.tf/item/11668122424
Was gambled prior, didn't include the sales here.
= 10 keys
Sale 5:
Sold to a bot for 10 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199522145204#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400 - Near ID: 13940186663
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400
https://backpack.tf/item/5269025198
Near ID shows a group of 13, only 10 match.
= 10 keys
Sale 6:
Sold to a bot for 9 keys + ~1 key in metal
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060732371#!/compare/1702771200/1703116800 - Near ID: 13945003190
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Victory%20Lap&at=2023-12-22T01:54:51.350Z - labelled as 9 keys + 52.33 ref
https://backpack.tf/item/5195436949
= 10 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199444274901#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1702598400/1702684800
https://backpack.tf/item/7403754227
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963500354#!/compare/1705708800/1706140800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269239119#!/compare/1706140800/1706400000
https://backpack.tf/item/6990997233
SCM
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1702598400/1702684800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198370743471#!/compare/1702598400/1702684800
https://backpack.tf/item/6753395826
Untraceable, some cheap items match.
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199134289408#!/compare/1705104000/1705363200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000
https://backpack.tf/item/5228154449
Bulk
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128560410#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Victory%20Lap&at=2024-01-29T01:54:51.350Z - Labelled as 11 keys (sold), then 11 keys + 6.33 ref (bought)
https://backpack.tf/item/5195436949
Untraceable. Would've been bought by someone, then dumped to the other bot for profit.
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043988930#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198134404909#!/compare/1706486400/1706918400
https://backpack.tf/item/5185001528
Untraceable, probably sold on marketplace.
#7
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075333342#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000
https://backpack.tf/item/5591920154
Most likely a backpack buy
https://backpack.tf/item/5238585537 - marketplace
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1172;5;u3006
$28, Feb 2nd.
This sale will end up being a bit over 15 keys, too high considering current sellers.
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/lDsbQ5q
https://backpack.tf/item/14029805072 - 11 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/11668122424 - 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/6887064948 - 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/5228154449 - 12 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12044303273 - 15 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/7161584774 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5269025198 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/8908856209 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5591920154 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5195436949 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/6617054369 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/5210199740 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/9878944959 - marketplace
Sales at:
10 (3x)
11 (2x)
12
12 may seem a little high with the seller at 11, and the 2 month old seller at 12, but one of the sales at 11 barely rounds down, wouldn't be right to exclude 12.
10 is too common, despite some of the sales going to bots, and is not currently countered by any buyers. Keeping 10 too.
Taking 10-12 keys.