Requested by LstratosHF

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13674784441

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198289121434#!/compare/1704153600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198282267590#!/compare/1703980800/1704672000

Gamba / untrace then listed on mp

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13638764919

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198011727852#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060950901#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800

Moved to bot

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/6098048999

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062840129#!/compare/1702166400/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199219904980#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

7 keys match

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199219904980#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199052481723#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

22 keys match

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/4005052749

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198143836946#!/compare/1706140800/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069143099#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

Looks like added:

6 keys

for

Orbiting Fire Brimmed Bootlegger

Possibly, item history doesn't really track - https://backpack.tf/item/13625342921

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069143099#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111475184#!/compare/1707609600/1708128000

Sold for 14 keys

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1115;5;u3126

Dec 29th 2023 - $39.99 / $1.71 = 23.39 keys

For reference, $39.99 / 1.7057 = 23.44 keys, which rounds down to 23 keys anyways

7 day average:

Dec 26th - $1.72

Dec 27th - $1.7

Dec 28th - $1.68

Dec 29th - $1.68

Dec 30th - $1.68

Dec 31st - $1.74

Jan 1st - $1.74

(1.72 + 1.7 + 1.68 + 1.68 + 1.68 + 1.74 + 1.74) / 7 = 1.7057

Sales

7, 22, 14, 23

Current listings

https://prnt.sc/mWB2aY-S_Olz

10 days at 15 keys

2/3 months at 22 keys

Buy orders up at 10 keys, STN pays a little more than 10 - https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Autumn+Leaves+Taunt%3A+Rancho+Relaxo

Concluding thoughts

I'm going to go ahead and top and tail here and suggest at 14 flat. Will probably be up for a while given no new marketplace sale and 10 days unsold at 15 keys.

14 flat it is

Seller at 15 keys sold to STN

https://backpack.tf/item/5187335420

https://prnt.sc/TUOeSiRN8j_q

STN listed at 15 keys 46.22 ref

Still gonna keep at 14 flat unless the STN one sells