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Sale 1:
Sold for 6 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198148983233#!/compare/1701302400/1701388800 - Near ID: 13855563541
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079969248#!/compare/1646352000/1705881600
https://backpack.tf/item/7606374393
= 6 keys
Sale 2:
Sold to a bot for 4 keys + 25.44 ref (~0.4 keys)?
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138760165#!/compare/1706400000/1707350400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000
https://backpack.tf/item/10553084086
The keys went towards the Strange Kunai in the seller's backpack before being scanned. Keys are visible on the buyer's end.
Can't find the metal, but I'll give it the benefit of the doubt. Not like it'll matter to the range anyways.
= 4.4 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362305972#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198093177263#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400
https://backpack.tf/item/6358261894
Untraceable
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199189717419#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1700524800/1700611200
https://backpack.tf/item/7606374393
Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198262069196#!/compare/1700265600/1708214400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389427589#!/compare/1708214400/1708214400 (no good compare link)
https://backpack.tf/item/3373198025
Untraceable, potentially scammed
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199186541168#!/compare/1701907200/1701993600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239513168#!/compare/1700265600/1702252800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198239513168#!/compare/1705449600/1706054400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199272632371#!/compare/1701993600/1706140800
https://backpack.tf/item/2884268779
Multiple bot transfers
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1701043200/1701129600
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088383226#!/compare/1700179200/1701216000
https://backpack.tf/item/2706917382
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/item/8837109827 - unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/7290122603 - hacked
https://backpack.tf/item/3543397057 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/3296825998 - mannco/gambled
https://backpack.tf/item/3055268418 - duped, no sale here
https://backpack.tf/item/2727833659 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/5428160819 - marketplace
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/ZI2mnF3
https://backpack.tf/item/11936478008 - 9 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3055268418 - 9 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/3749891859 - 9 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/2884268779 - 9 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/14101332063 - 9 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1120;5;u3006
https://backpack.tf/item/5428160819 - marketplace, currently for $12 (~7 keys)
Sales at:
4.4
6
Buyers up to 5.2 keys, excluding 4.4.
Might seem like a harsh drop considering the sale at 6 occurred in about a day of the seller owning it, however:
The buyer doesn't appear to be re-selling
We have absolutely no sales for higher (not even on marketplace), only one for even less than 6
The only sellers have remained unsold for many months indicating the current price is not very accurate
There's a marketplace listing for a key more than the sale at 6.
Going with 6 keys.