Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13781388355

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198833495548#!/compare/1701129600/1701216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1701129600/1701216000

No clue

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1701216000/1701302400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199289335630#!/compare/1701302400/1701302400

Can't load buyer inv

Skipping past gambling invs...

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198356402719#!/compare/1702425600/1702512000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044061683#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

No clue

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13637318930

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220464631#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145482701#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

No clue

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/11441906787

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198226855288#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

Probably gambling stuff

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087354912#!/compare/1704844800/1705017600

No clue

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199087354912#!/compare/1705017600/1708387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

No clue

Then moved to bot owner & listed on mannco.store...

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199213719229#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Only ~2 keys match

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199213719229#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967524699#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

No clue

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198967524699#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302689634#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

Probably added for a Showstopper Taunt: Runner's Rhythm, I can't really tell tho

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302689634#!/compare/1706659200/1707004800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046617928#!/compare/1706572800/1706745600

No clue

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046617928#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198050235176#!/compare/1707177600/1707955200

No clue

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/9892017881

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198202111664#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044227972#!/compare/1701907200/1703808000

No clue

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/6384757263

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056506661#!/compare/1701216000/1701993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1701734400/1701820800

No clue

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/4937594491

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198029534325#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114657689#!/compare/1704844800/1705017600

No clue

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114657689#!/compare/1704844800/1705017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198814387642#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

No clue

Rest of this history is gambling...

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/3616351489

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198030290449#!/compare/1705190400/1707436800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

Not unusual yet, listed on mp after wards

Then unusualified...

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/3457767123

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120195778#!/compare/1706313600/1708387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Can only match ref

Then listed on mp.tf...

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/3331523778

(I'll cover mp.tf sales at the end)

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199255517893#!/compare/1705017600/1705881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1705363200/1705449600

No clue

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/3129777119

Sale 20

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198890990852#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362305972#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

~2 keys

Sale 21

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198362305972#!/compare/1703462400/1703548800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199173092453#!/compare/1703462400/1703635200

Untrace

Sale 22

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199173092453#!/compare/1703462400/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

Looks like ~1.7 keys in random taunts / cosmetics

Then just qs.store transfers

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/3098396367

Just gambling / STN dumps, nothing of interested here

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/2906899375

Mannco.store stuff

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/4177359425

Sale 23

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043553819#!/compare/1705622400/1706227200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1676505600/1706400000

No clue

Sale 24

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198392637706#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

No clue

Sale 25

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199521823568#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199135952616#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

No clue

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/11347023810

Skipping past gambling...

Sale 26

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199045182353#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800

No clue

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

$4.99 / $1.76 = ~2.85 keys (Dec 3)

$4.99 / $1.68 = ~2.95 keys (Dec 26)

$4.99 / $1.71 = ~2.90 keys (Dec 30)

$4.99 / $1.69 = ~2.95 keys (Jan 5)

$4.99 / $1.69 = ~2.95 keys (Jan 15)

Glad Stats

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Silver%20Cyclone%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2024-02-20T06:48:25.409Z

2 @ ~2.05 keys

1 @ ~2.1 keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Silver%20Cyclone%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2024-01-20T06:48:25.409Z

1 @ ~2 keys

1 @ ~2.1 keys

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Silver%20Cyclone%20Taunt:%20Spent%20Well%20Spirits&at=2023-12-20T06:48:25.409Z

1 @ ~2 keys

Total Sales

1.7, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2.05, 2.1, 2.1, 2.85, 2.9, 2.95, 2.95, 2.95

https://imgur.com/a/GQLJVq6

Unsold @ 2.29 is relatively fresh

Seems like a lot of sales around 2, I'll go with 2 - 2.9 keys?

Unsolds:

https://backpack.tf/item/3331523778 - ~2.3

https://backpack.tf/item/9269484953 - ~2.9

https://backpack.tf/item/3457767123 - $5.49

https://backpack.tf/item/4177359425 - $5.49

https://backpack.tf/item/11347023810 - $5.49

https://backpack.tf/item/3673990460 - $7.75