Price Suggestion
~2150 keys
burning
Unusual Exquisite Rack Burning Flames
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Resuggestion to include a new sale as the high end


https://backpack.tf/item/349825400

https://backpack.tf/item/275962697

Excluding Mannco.Store sales


https://backpack.tf/item/257227643 Duped, both people in the history still own it


https://backpack.tf/item/277396038


1603 keys appear on buyer's side:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197997127387#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261265788#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600


https://backpack.tf/item/3003327403 Duped, didn't move


https://backpack.tf/item/4013958412


Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060574588#!/compare/1701302400/1701388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1701302400/1701388800


1075 keys + Bayonet Fade Knife:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098125861#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

(credit to Knopast for the screenshot) https://imgur.com/a/1B3bhnv

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https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/★%20Bayonet%20%7C%20Fade%20(Factory%20New)

Taking past week around when the sale happened (December 17)

December 12: $1210.97/2.3=526,51 ~527 keys

December 15: $1124.53/2.16=520,62 ~521 keys

December 16: $1130/2.09=540,67 ~541 keys

Average price: (527+521+541)/3=529,66 ~530 keys


key prices: https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

$2.3, $2.16 and $2.09 respectively


So that makes the sale 1075+530=1605 keys, rounding to 1600


https://backpack.tf/item/281112117 (Spelled)


Green Energy Soldier's Slope Scopers + Demonflame Bonk Helm + Green Black Hole Flamboyant Flamenco + Burning Flames Lucky Shot:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119500025#!/compare/1701216000/1701388800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1701302400/1701388800

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Scopers: 85 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6575fc792aefb4c40d0db0b3

Bonk Helm: buyers at ~500 keys

Flamboyant Flamenco: 620 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/6590a71f7c90940fce0efaad

Lucky Shot: 390 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65763900b2d9433d9b05c40a

Taking buyers on the Bonk Helm already makes this sale ~1600 so with a proper value on the Bonk Helm it will be higher than the non-spelled sales, excluding


835 keys Sunbeams Noble Assessment of Hats + Strange Kritzkrieg + Construction PDA + 20 Max's Heads

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063925137#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

--

Noble Assessment of Hats: buyer at 38, should be enough

Kritzrieg: 90-100 I guess (mean of 95) https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Kritzkrieg&at=2024-01-30T23:22:04.205Z

PDA: 102-204 (mean of 103) https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Strange%20Construction%20PDA&at=2024-01-30T23:23:14.880Z

Max's Head: 29 as a mid-point should be fine (580 keys in total) https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Max%27s%20Severed%20Head&at=2024-01-30T23:24:16.013Z

835+38+95+103+580=1651 keys, rounding to 1650


https://backpack.tf/item/357747797


Ignoring all the tradebacks, it's most likely gambling


Galactic Gateway Brain-Warming Wear + Cloudy Moon Pirate Bandana + Steaming Master's Yellow Belt + 284 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139394142#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

Looks incredibly low at a glance, more must have been involved


looks like 1530 keys (buyer's compare):

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118157202#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799601783#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

sold within a day


1575 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198799601783#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055618880#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800


https://backpack.tf/item/957689489 Just tradebacks


https://backpack.tf/item/203518545


Added 150 keys for Acidic Climate Starboard Crusader:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1701561600/1701648000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198822773578#!/compare/1701475200/1701648000

Better used on the Crusader


Sold alongside Miami Nights Whirly Warrior, Haunted Kraken Sky High Fly Guy, Eerie Kraken Cranial Cowl, Selfless Sensation Taunt: The Bunnyhopper and 7 Festivizers for the Green Black Hole Exquisite Rack:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198822773578#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1702857600/1702944000

Better used on the Green Black Hole Rack


Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218497692#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600


Sold alongside The Ooze Nuke, Searing Plasma Waxy Wayfinder and Spelled Snow Scoper for the Strange Roboactive Villain's Veil:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198218497692#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1703203200/1703376000

Better used on the Veil


Sold alongside Time Warp Soldered Sensei for 1455 keys + Hellfire Flipped Trilby:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1704067200/1704240000

Should fall in-range


Sunbeams Exquisite Rack + Aces High Legendary Lid + 325 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198860735519#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198402479834#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

--

Lid doesn't have any usable sales https://pastebin.com/iKdp5wBV

Using buyers at ~123 keys https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Legendary%20Lid/Tradable/Craftable/59

Sunbeams Rack: 1400 keys https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65c019b04e47e732320e9040

1400+123=1523 keys, would probably full in-range if the Lid was priced


https://backpack.tf/item/214960246


Strange Sunbeams Bonk Boy + Vivid Plasma Noh Mercy:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197994660517#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996581311#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

Better used on the Noh Mercy since it doesn't have anything else usable


Looks like 1680 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197996581311#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040737975#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

Rounding to 1700


Sales at 1100 (1075 rounded), (1523 missing the Lid's value), 1550 (1530 rounded), 1600 (1575 rounded), 1600 (1603 rounded), 1600 (1605 rounded), 1650, 1700


1100 is below buyers at ~1400 so excluding.


Gonna take 1550-1700 keys

    Buy order for normal (non spelled) at 1550 currently. What happens when buy order is already in the price range suggested?

      Since it wasn't there when the original suggestion was made it isn't really counter-evidence alone, but at a push 1550 could possibly be excluded since it sold quicker than the other sales but I decided to keep it in to include more data points, especially since there's already a sale at 1100 that we're excluding and the Sunbeams Rack + Aces High Lid sale supports including 1550 too