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Attempt number two. Hopefully this goes better.
Again, forgive me if there is something wrong!
Sale 1
Paid 36 keys pure on 12/1/2024:
https://backpack.tf/item/918291238
Proof 1 of 2 screenshots: https://imgur.com/a/6KFN9JH
2/2: https://imgur.com/a/c5NXFIs
User later sold to bot (Check previous sug. - Told to ignore bot dump.)
Sale 2
Paid 39 keys pure on 26/11/2023
https://backpack.tf/item/950059235
Proof 1 of 2: https://imgur.com/a/hbpEyw4
2/2: https://imgur.com/a/yKWorNK
Sale 3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068867083#!/compare/1703721600/1704153600
Untrace
Sale 4
Paid 40 keys pure + (2) Macaw Masked War Paint + The Backwards Ballcap + The Flapjack on 10/2/24.
Compare shows multiple Macaw Masked War paints leaving inventory with various wears during this time. 1 MW, Some FT, Some WW. Unsure of what to use for this. However, it will still fall within the range as the median price of MW sold this week is €2.25. FT sold for: €1.22 on 13/2/24; €1.22 on 15/2/24; €1.23 on 16/2/24.
€2.25/1.7 + €1.22/1.7 = 2 keys. That is my best attempt at pricing those.
Ballcap: 1.55 ref
Flapjack: 4.44 ref
So 40 keys + 2 keys + 1.55ref + 4.44ref = ~42.1 keys.
https://backpack.tf/item/350927128
Proof 1 of 2: https://imgur.com/a/N8zICgx
2/2: https://imgur.com/a/jg6DPbb
Sale 5
Paid 45 keys pure on 18/2/24
Proof:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198145979068#!/compare/1707091200/1708300800
https://imgur.com/a/8vm99NH
Sales @ 36; 39; 42; 45
for got to include the item history for sale 5
item history for sale 5: https://backpack.tf/item/426065018
other then that all looks good to me
I made another slight error with sale 4. The user received some refined as well as the hat, which doesn't affect the range at all because it bumps the sale down by like .1% of a key, if that. This is all a learning curve I guess. Thanks for the help SIr Spoon! :)
as its over 30 keys that doesn't matter as we round to the nearest whole key so it doesn't matter as it still would have been rounded down
Buy orders are up above 36 keys at this point so it may be okay to exclude 36. I’d say wait for a mod either way.
Great work!
Thanks very much!
More sales:
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Circling%20Heart%20Desert%20Marauder&at=2024-05-09T06:32:03.842Z - 1 sold to a glad bot for 42
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045720909#!/compare/1708300800/1708473600 - sold to a bot for 36
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200 - 40 keys
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/400;5;u19
79.99 /1.72 = ~47
88.88 / 1.68 = ~53
89.99 / 1.66 = ~54
Sales at:
36 (x2)
39
40
42
45
47
53
54
Buyers are up to 42 but seem high with a seller at 47. Given that it was mentioned in the comments that buy orders were around 36 when this was made, I think excluding the 36 sales are reasonable, and I'd exclude also exclude 53 and 54 as they are above the current seller.
39 - 47 should be good here, sorry for the delay in handling this.
Closing due to lack of follow-up. A counter suggestion has been accepted so this will still be updated.