Sale 1:

Sold with a Conga (~2.3 keys) and a Batter's Beak (~0.05) for 5 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199500689591#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198263112666#!/compare/1706918400/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/item/12913998427

= 2.65 keys

Sale 2:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 29.33 ref (~0.45 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198165846679#!/compare/1704672000/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/item/3685952765

= 2.45 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 18.77 ref (~0.3 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244276826#!/compare/1704326400/1704758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1704672000/1704758400 - metal found here

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Boston%20Breakdance&at=2024-01-10T07:37:07.762Z - Gladiator confirms

https://backpack.tf/item/10268215280

= 2.3 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199516157545#!/compare/1703376000/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199400863591#!/compare/1703116800/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/item/11518218391d

Untraceable, potentially scammed or something

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199400863591#!/compare/1703808000/1704758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101483088#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

https://backpack.tf/item/11518218391

Bulk?

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199180189161#!/compare/1704067200/1704585600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199249959929#!/compare/1703980800/1704326400

https://backpack.tf/item/3911976790

Bulk/cstrade

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199249959929#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308269168#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/item/3911976790

Untraceable/cstrade

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199200630962#!/compare/1704240000/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

https://backpack.tf/item/3887013284

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841279602#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199429610777#!/compare/1705190400/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/item/3887013284

Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1706140800/1706227200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20The%20Boston%20Breakdance&at=2024-01-26T07:44:27.538Z - labelled as 2 keys + 32.88 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/3887013284

Untraceable

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200

https://backpack.tf/item/3711065263

Untraceable

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198135388328#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198189895885#!/compare/1647475200/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/item/3711065263

Bulk from Scrap for keys

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198064991263#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

https://backpack.tf/item/3685952765

Untraceable, 2 keys match

https://backpack.tf/item/3911976790 - tradeit

https://backpack.tf/item/3885956529 - unusualified

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30572;5;u3006

$7.40, December 29th

$7.40, February 11th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - Keys were:

$1.68, December 29th

$1.72, February 11th

7.4/1.68 = ~4.4 keys

7.4/1.72 = ~4.3 keys

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/Y4VAx7h

https://backpack.tf/item/3887013284 - 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10268215280 - 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13596405165 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12913998427 - marketplace

Sales at:

2.3

2.45

2.65

4.3 (marketplace)

4.4 (marketplace)

Buyers up to ~2.4 keys, going to exclude 2.45 and lower.

The 2.65 key sale ideally shouldn't even be used, and I wouldn't normally, but given the cheaper bot purchases, we're gonna need a low low-end here.

For the sake of having a nice round average number, I'm gonna round 2.65 down to 2.6, so the average price ends up being 3.5 keys.

Taking 2.6-4.4.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198036609286#!/compare/1703289600/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136951029#!/compare/1710547200/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/item/5658035422

Bulk for Sapped Headhunter's Brim