https://backpack.tf/item/12242312417

Bulk for Scorching Flames Onimann:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198074726928#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

Bulk for Strange Eyes of Molten Wandering Wraith:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198040280241#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

buyer listed on MPTF

https://backpack.tf/item/11776104043

first sale is bot owner to bot

Untrace:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198255546961#!/compare/1630627200/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/item/11871737193

10 keys:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199375634143#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198152612559#!/compare/1704499200/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/item/12041931240 withdrawn from Mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/12050331706

Looks like bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115535863#!/compare/1701993600/1702252800

Probably a dump, 41.55 ref matches:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115535863#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199520998619#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199520998619#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199136171109#!/compare/1704499200/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/item/11266187145 Withdrawn from bot then listed on Mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/11304335278

Bulk, most likely gambling:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199446578917#!/compare/1708732800/1708905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/11417588155

Untrace:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043988930#!/compare/1701907200/1701993600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198259528152#!/compare/1638835200/1639526400

https://backpack.tf/item/3338338911

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038779330#!/compare/1698537600/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199433637161#!/compare/1706745600/1706745600

Untrace:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199433637161#!/compare/1706745600/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Bulk:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132184792#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1706659200/1706832000

Untrace, possibly MPTF:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198232995724#!/compare/1704326400/1707868800

~~

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30570;5;u3088

https://backpack.tf/item/12276460796

Jan 2: $29.99/1.704=17.59 ~18 keys

Jan 31: $25/1.7=14.71 ~15 keys

Feb 9: $25/1.707=14.65 ~15 keys

key prices https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6

2/01: (1.68+1.74+1.74+1.72+1.69+1.68+1.68)/7=1.704

31/01: 1.7

9/02: (1.7+1.7+1.7+1.7+1.72+1.72+1.71)/7=1.707

~~

Unsolds:

https://backpack.tf/item/12050331706 10 keys 2 months

https://backpack.tf/item/12127378189 10 keys 2 months

https://backpack.tf/item/12164517106 13 keys 11 months

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Pool%20Party?filter=+Marigold+Ritual $31.1 (~14 keys taking 2.18 as the key price)

Sales at 10, 15, 15 and 18

Despite the volume of sales, including 15 or 18 just isn't going to work with all these unsuccessful sellers.

Going with 10 flat