Suggestion: Stellar Ascent Thunder Dome at 24–29 keys

Sold for a Celestial Summit Thunder Dome (21 keys) + a Marigold Ritual Proletariat Posedown (3 keys) + 2 keys (items match histories and can be seen in both sides of the compares) = 26 keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198279670065#!/compare/1703721600/1703894400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198308883028#!/compare/1703894400/1704326400

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/13738820048

Sale #10

Sold for 34 keys (ID "14000895835" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198098536989#!/compare/1704067200/1704240000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061128133#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/13731086346

Sale #11

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198201518699#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Sale #12

Sold for 27 keys (keys in the buyer's side match)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264558463#!/compare/1705795200/1707436800

Sale #13

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199523946153#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264558463#!/compare/1707436800/1708300800

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/13712156817

Sale #14

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198798879879#!/compare/1704326400/1704931200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

Item, 7

https://backpack.tf/item/13698173519

Sale #15

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199055093047#!/compare/1701475200/1706140800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/13685598740

Sale #16

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198070980833#!/compare/1701907200/1701993600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1701820800/1701907200

Sale #17

Bulk sale?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199389372563#!/compare/1701993600/1702080000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1701993600/1702080000

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/13659680451

Sale #18

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1700870400/1700956800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198209953171#!/compare/1700956800/1701043200

Sale #19

Only 1.11 refined traces when using ID "14044245541" of the unusual, incomplete but was a dump anyways-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355092203#!/compare/1704931200/1705104000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000

Sale #20

Sold for 29 keys (keys in the buyer's matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026605090#!/compare/1706918400/1707091200

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/13656849381

Sale #21

Only two keys trace when using ID "13976640041" of the unusual and three more can be found matching histories in the buyer's side, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198187618105#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199219838178#!/compare/1703635200/1703808000

Sale #22

Sold for 28 keys (keys in the bulk match to the Blast Defense that the buyer sold so it is fair to say the keys received from that trade were used to buy this)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199219838178#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084635414#!/compare/1707955200/1708732800

Sale #23

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084635414#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133319499#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/13646134683

Sale #24

Sold for a Lucidation Roaming Roman (19 keys) + a Spec KS Woodland Warrior Rocket Launcher (MW) (1.34 keys) + a Spec KS Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle (FT) (2.50 keys) + 10 keys (all items match histories and can be seen in both sides of the compares) = 32.84ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198120672630#!/compare/1701820800/1701907200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065562699#!/compare/1701820800/1701907200

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Mini of Spec KS Woodland Warrior Rocket Launcher (MW)

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Woodland%20Warrior%20Rocket%20Launcher%20%28Minimal%20Wear%29

Nov 28 2023 = 2.76/2.25 = 1.22ish keys

Dec 31 2023 = 1.071/2.18 = 0.49ish keys

Jan 08 2024 = 3.274/2.23 = 1.46ish keys

Sales @ 0.49, 1.22, 1.46

Buyers at $1.93 (1.93/2.17 = 0.88ish keys)

Excluding 0.49 given buyers

Taking 1.22-1.46 here

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Mini of Spec KS Thunderbolt Sniper Rifle (FT)

SCM Sales

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Specialized%20Killstreak%20Thunderbolt%20Sniper%20Rifle%20%28Field-Tested%29

Nov 29 2023 = 4.86/2.26 = 2.15sh keys

Dec 15 2023 = 7.25/2.18 = 3.32sh keys

Dec 25 2023 = 6.396/2.15 = 2.97sh keys x2

Feb 23 2024 = 3.692/2.17 = 1.70sh keys

Feb 24 2024 = 3.68/2.17 = 1.69ish keys

Keys Prices Taken From Here

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/15059;15;w3;pk59;kt-2

Feb 01 2024 = 9.99/1.70 = 5.87ish keys

Sales @ 1.69, 1.70, 2.15, 2.97, 3.32, 5.87

Sellers at $10.15 (10.15/2.17 = 4.67ish keys) and buyers at $1.95 (1.95/2.17 = 0.89ish keys) on SCM

Excluding 5.87 given sellers

Taking 1.69-3.32 here

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Sale #25

Sold for 32 keys + 12 refined (ID '13908808551" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198065562699#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199068405506#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

Sale #26

Sold for 24 keys (ID '14066349294" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199068405506#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107740076#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/13645258559

Sale #27

Sold for 22 keys (buyer's side is clean enough to call it those keys)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186993361#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199219838178#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Item 13

https://backpack.tf/item/13645158185

Sale #28

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084205929#!/compare/1703894400/1704067200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199239805280#!/compare/1703980800/1704067200

Sale #29

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199239805280#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

Sale #30

Only 6 keys trace when using ID '14034722427" of the unusual, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140170655#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

Item 14

https://backpack.tf/item/13638268050

Sale #31

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122146495#!/compare/1700870400/1701129600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070454377#!/compare/1700179200/1701043200

Marketplace.tf Saels

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31391;5;u294

MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $74.99 on November 26, 2023

Average Key Price @ $1.71ish

74.99/1.71 = 43.85ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #2

Sold for $69.99 on February 23, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.70ish

69.99/1.70 = 41.17ish keys

Unknown History?

Sales @ 22, 24, 26, 27, 28, 29, 29, 31, 32, 32, 34, 41, 44

Excluding 31 and above given multiple sellers at 24 and around there and excluding 22 here given it was probably a buy order dump at the time and to make the range more even. Should be fine to include sales above 25 given the amount of them up there and since all the sellers would fall into the range regardless

Taking 24-29 here :3