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Mini for another suggestion but lets do a full one screw it
Sale #1:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198031524068#!/compare/1705190400/1706054400 ~ sold for 40 keys (below buyers)
Sale #2:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248511368#!/compare/1701129600/1701475200 ~ being used on All Gnawing
Sale #3:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31385;5;u295
Wow a lot of these sold...
Dec 08 2023 $84.99 (x2) ~ 49 keys
Dec 10 2023 $84.99 ~ 49 keys
Dec 11 2023 $84.99 ~ 49 keys
Dec 16 2023 $99.99 ~ 57 keys
================== Dec 8-Dec 16 the median key price was 1.74, using 1.74 for the above 4
Dec 19 2023 $99.99 ~ 60 keys
Dec 22 2023 $99.99 ~ 60 keys
Dec 23 2023 $99.99 ~ 60 keys
Dec 26 2023 $99.99 ~ 60 keys
================== Dec 19 - Dec 26 the median key price was (1.7+1.7+1.68+1.67+1.67+1.64+1.64 / 7) = $1.67, using for the above 4
Dec 27 2023 $99.99 ~ 59 keys
Dec 28 2023 $119.99 ~ 71 keys
Jan 03 2024 $119.99 ~ 71 keys
================== Dec 27 - Jan 03 the median key price was (1.7+1.68+1.68+1.68+1.74+1.74+1.72+1.69 / 8) = $1.7, using for the above 3
Jan 08 2024 $119.99 ~ 71 keys
Jan 09 2024 $119.99 ~ 71 keys
Jan 13 2024 $140.00 ~ 83 keys
================== Jan 08 - Jan 13 the median key price was (1.69 + 1.69 + 1.69 + 1.69 + 1.68 + 1.68 / 6) = $1.69 , using for the above 3
Feb 19 2024 $127.39 ~ 75 keys
================== Throughout all of Feb key prices have remained at a median of 1.7, so using 1.7 for above.
Sale #4:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144022966#!/compare/1707091200/1707350400 ~ sold for 40 keys + some ref (below buyers)
Sale #5:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059382847#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200 ~ ??
Sale #6:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198000426108#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400 ~ potentially 58 keys? the keys dont match though. The buyers backpack is hardly refreshed/update so it is possible they are just not in the history.
Sale #7:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198389596775#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800 ~ added 30 keys for a peace sign HKC
Mini HKC:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30177;5;u18 ~ only sale I can find is marketplace.tf, $143.99 / 1.7 = 85 keys (unsold seller at 80, but they also say they will take 72 keys). So if we cap this at 73 keys - 30 = 43? Best to ignore this sale? seems like an outlier compared to our other sales anyway.
Sale #8:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198358422068#!/compare/1702425600/1704758400 ~ cash maybe ? Sold bp?
Sale #9:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198115325995#!/compare/1708560000/1708905600 ~ ??
Sale #10:
https://backpack.tf/item/13761518619 ~ gambled
Sale #11:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198248511368#!/compare/1701993600/1702252800 ~ 30 keys? (im assuming 40 keys using gladiator.tf, either way under buyers now)
Sale #12:
https://backpack.tf/item/13650677030 ~ gambled every single time aaa
Sales (ignoring those below buyers):
49, 49, 49, 57, (maybe 58?), 59, 60, 60, 60, 60, 71, 71, 71, 71, 75, 83
Two unsold sellers at 60 (11 days and 4 days) https://i.imgur.com/qZCmfsu.png + 1 seller at 54.49 keys (new seller only a couple hours old)
So going to ignore the above 60 sales and take 49 and 60.
Sold for 52 Keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199166009938#!/compare/1708214400/1708560000
3 more Marketplace sales have occurred at $126.09 (75 Keys), but those are high too.
The Keys' IDs match in sale 6.