green

Marketplace.tf Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/17255;11;w3;pk255

$36.45/1.70=~21.4 Keys (Jan 27th) Median Price of Keys that day was $1.70

$36.45/1.70=~21.4 Keys (Feb 8th) Median Price of Keys that day was $1.70

SCM Sales:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Helldriver%20War%20Paint%20%28Field-Tested%29

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/?appid=440&market_hash_name=Strange%20Helldriver%20War%20Paint%20(Field-Tested)

$22.00/2.12=~10.4 Keys (Dec 16th)

$25.90/2.15=~12 Keys (Dec 22nd)

$28.21/2.26=~12.5 Keys (Jan 17th)

$31.61/2.12=~14.9 Keys (Jan 28th)

Total Sales:

10.4, 12, 12.5, 14.9, 21.4, 21.4

Buyers @10.35 keys

Excluding Sales under 14.9, argument can be made newer sales on scm better support sales from marketplace, very ugly range regardless