Suggestion: Holy Grail Taunt: The Killer Solo at 6–7 keys

Re-suggesting, I messed up the price in the last one.

Including sales from the last suggestion onwards.

Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146333046#!/compare/1705363200/1705449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006478990#!/compare/1703980800/1705881600

Buyer doesn't show up in history, but it's pretty clear that it sold for 7 keys here. Buyer listed on marketplace before it was scanned in their backpack.

= 7 keys

Sale :

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163609625#!/compare/1703548800/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1703721600/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/item/3599681849

The trade is mixed with other items, including nearly a key in metal, an 8th key and a cosmetic. According to histories, only 7 keys match.

= 7 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079821428#!/compare/1699920000/1700006400 - Near ID: 13799084812

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198258028331#!/compare/1696982400/1700006400

https://backpack.tf/item/12599325416

= 6 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 5 keys + 49 ref (rounds to 6 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1706572800/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/item/12858666409

= 6 keys

Sale :

Sold for 6 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/item/3599258414

= 6 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122146495#!/compare/1700870400/1700956800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199070454377#!/compare/1700179200/1701043200

https://backpack.tf/item/9792383510

Untraceable/bulk

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199110809353#!/compare/1699315200/1699401600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198346254293#!/compare/1699401600/1699488000

https://backpack.tf/item/8682078207

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177089633#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703203200/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/item/3599258414

Untraceable, missing info in history

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198353692140#!/compare/1703721600/1703894400

https://backpack.tf/item/3599258414

Untraceable, 5 keys match on the buyer's end

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199404812646#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/item/12858666409

Untraceable. Some scrap matches.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1703894400/1704067200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971550296#!/compare/1697414400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/item/3599681849

SCM

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197971550296#!/compare/1704412800/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/item/3599681849

Buyer's backpack unscanned (or dumped on SCM)

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30609;5;u3003

$20, November 20th

$20, November 24th

$29.99, January 12th

$34.95, Feb 8th

$37.50, Feb 10th

$39, Feb 27th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.71, November 20th

$1.71, November 24th

$1.68, January 12th

$1.7, February 8th

$1.72, February 10th

$1.69, February 27th

20/1.71 = ~11.7 keys, rounds to 12 (2x)

29.99/1.68 = ~17.9 keys, rounds to 18

34.95/1.7 = ~20.6, rounds to 21

37.50/1.72 = ~21.8, rounds to 22

39/1.69 = ~23.1, rounds to 23

Sellers:

https://backpack.tf/item/4447830972 - marketplace

Sales at:

6 (3x)

7 (2x)

12 (2x, marketplace)

18 (marketplace)

21 (marketplace)

22 (marketplace)

23 (marketplace)

The marketplace sales are pretty clearly going to end up being outliers. We're pricing this off of what it sells for in keys, and using the actual pure sales we have would be ideal. Marketplace sales have a tendency to be drastically higher than pure sales, especially for unusual taunts, the only saving grace being that there are usually sellers for cheaper to counter these sales. Realistically, we should not have to depend on sellers existing to prevent a hideous range. Excluding all marketplace sales.

Sales at 6 are fairly common, shouldn't be excluding them. Keeping 6.

Taking 6-7 keys.