Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13950044920

Sale #1

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198302086269#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

Sale #2

Sold for a Festive Falling Star Hat Outta Hell + a Festive Falling Star Starlight Sorcerer + a Festive Falling Star Blast Defense + a Festive Falling Star Herald's Helm + a Festive Falling Star Tundra Top + an Arachne's Web Starboard Crusader (all unusuals match histories and can be seen in both sides of the compares, not usable however given the Helm cannot be priced as seen here and the Starboard has no usable sales)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

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Mini of Arachne's Web Starboard Crusader

Item 1.1

https://backpack.tf/item/13712047566

Ignoring the trade-backs between xae and Lyra

Sale #1.1

Sold for a Horsemann's Hack Elf Esteem + a Stellar Ascent Elf Esteem + 20 keys (both compares are as clean as they get and show all items)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

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Mini of Horsemann's Hack Elf Esteem

Item 1.2

https://backpack.tf/item/12263959968

Ignoring the multiple trade-backs between xae and Lyra

Sale #1.2

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Item 2.2

https://backpack.tf/item/12221579988

Sale #2.2

Only 24 refined trace when using ID "13919708612" of the unusual, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198264758898#!/compare/1647993600/1708041600

Item 3.2

https://backpack.tf/item/12177196432

Sale #3.2

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1703635200/1703721600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398638928#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

Sale #4.2

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198398638928#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199446578917#!/compare/1703980800/1704067200

Sale #5.2

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199446578917#!/compare/1704067200/1704240000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1704067200/1704153600

MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $33.5 on January 6, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.68ish

33.5/1.68 = 19.94ish keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12219096960

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30836;5;u260

Only sale @ 20

No usable sales here!

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Mini of Stellar Ascent Elf Esteem

Item 1.3

https://backpack.tf/item/13748734850

Sale #1.3

Bulk sale?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970897660#!/compare/1706140800/1706400000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

Item 2.3

https://backpack.tf/item/13701303262

Ignoring the many trade-backs between Lyra and xae

Sale #2.3

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164911027#!/compare/1702166400/1702252800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057575165#!/compare/1702252800/1702857600

Sale #3.3

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198198896481#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

No usable sales here!

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Sale #2.1

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198043444428#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

Item 2.1

https://backpack.tf/item/13667907266

Sale #3.1

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079672617#!/compare/1702598400/1703030400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062513419#!/compare/1702598400/1702684800

Sale #4.1

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062513419#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1703116800/1703376000

Sale #5.1

Bulk transfer from owner to bot-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198048724906#!/compare/1703635200/1704067200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102931867#!/compare/1703462400/1703721600

No usable sales here!

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Sale #3

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1709337600/1709510400

Sale #4

Sold with a Purple Confetti Starboard Crusader + a Festive Falling Star Hunter in Darkness + an Enchanted Kazotsky Kick for a Tesla Coil Well-Rounded Rifleman (260 keys) (ID "14243439651" of the unusual matches, not usable however given no usable sales for the Hunter in Darkness)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

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Mini of Festive Falling Star Hunter in Darkness

Item 1.4

https://backpack.tf/item/13912943354

Sale #1.4

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101221769#!/compare/1702944000/1704672000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138440712#!/compare/1555286400/1703808000

Sale #2.4

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138440712#!/compare/1555286400/1703808000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

Sale #3.4

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055077512#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1709337600/1709510400

Sale #4.4

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062611321#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

No usable sales here!

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Sale #5

Sold for six Bill's Hats (3.53 keys each or 21.18 keys in total, taking buyers) + five B.M.O.C.s (15.19 keys each or 75.95 keys in total, taking Glad stats) + three Kazotsky Kicks (3.42 keys each or 10.26 keys in total, taking buyers) + 94 keys (ID "14250723829" of the unusual matches) = 201.39ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

Sale #6

Sold with a Head Prize (4.25 keys, taking Glad stats) + a Cheers! (2.43 keys, taking current price) + a Strange Apparition's Aspect (2.23 keys, taking buyers) for a Burning Flames Federal Casemaker (237.5 keys) (ID "14251177747" of the unusual matches) = 228.59ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198872222015#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198045296162#!/compare/1709510400/1709683200

Extra Proof: https://imgur.com/a/7tFQqda

Sales @ 201, 229

Rounding and taking 200-230 here :3