Suggestion: Moth Plague Horror Shawl at 9–11 keys - backpack.tf

Price Suggestion

~10 keys

moth plague

60 votes up

2 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Fri, 15 Mar 24 18:19:59 +0000 by Eazy Peazy Squeezy Lemons.

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Comments

Mini for Starstorm Slumber Hong Kong Cone and Miami Nights Archer's Sterling

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13822540870

Sale #1

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1708560000/1708732800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412976#!/compare/1708128000/1708646400

Sale #2

Bulk dump for 15 keys + 17.33 refined (ID '14215791945" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412976#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059698603#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13108693416

Sale #3

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059760489#!/compare/1670112000/1707091200

Sale #4

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059760489#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Sale #5

Gambled probably-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Sale #6

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015930489#!/compare/1706832000/1707177600

Sale #7

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198015930489#!/compare/1706832000/1707177600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Sale #8

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037610911#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

Sale #9

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037610911#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194626271#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

Sale #10

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198194626271#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

Sale #11

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060124790#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

Sale #12

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060124790#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198060124790#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/12324170417

Sale #13

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199635217#!/compare/1706313600/1707609600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Sale #14

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061836787#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

Sale #15

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198068736577#!/compare/1708128000/1709596800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/12299145479

Sale #16

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310590737#!/compare/1702252800/1702425600

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/12263950178

Sale #17

Bulk sale?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198876698605#!/compare/1708214400/1709078400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199101286685#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/12229755740

Ignoring the transfer from bot to owner at the end here

Sale #18

Untraceable? Was probably bought and instantly gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1702512000/1702598400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

Sale #19

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109872491#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

Sale #20

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198109872491#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818835828#!/compare/1702771200/1703030400

Sale #21

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198818835828#!/compare/1702771200/1703030400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400

Sale #22

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1702944000/1703030400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1703203200/1703548800

Sale #23

Only 0.44 refined traces when using ID "14131623987" of the unusual, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192088525#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/12229310644

Sale #24

Sold for 11 keys (keys in the bulk match)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198061108999#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869766#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

Sale #25

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198082869766#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199315621199#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12227171633

Sale #26

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1703980800/1704067200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057668790#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600

Sale #27

Dumped for 9 keys (ID "14022382625" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057668790#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

Sale #28

Untraceable but most likely bought and instantly dumped again-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/12195287818

Sale #29

Only 5 refined traces when using ID '14064629881" of the unusual, incomplete but was a dump anyways-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037215477#!/compare/1705276800/1705622400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/12189915498

Ignoring the trade-backs between OJ and Faegem and OJ and ZaGii

Sale #30

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006544512#!/compare/1702684800/1702857600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827692195#!/compare/1683244800/1704326400

Sale #31

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198827692195#!/compare/1704326400/1705536000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1704240000/1704326400

Sale #32

Sold for 9 keys + 1.55 refined (ID '14080167398" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198053811988#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

Sale #33

Bulk transfer?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199108309959#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086011812#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/12177524726

Sale #34

Bulk backpack sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198133955369#!/compare/1703721600/1704585600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197966756586#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600

Item 12

https://backpack.tf/item/12187647543

Sale #35

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198020364881#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Sale #36

Gambled?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1706918400/1707004800

Sale #37

Gambled-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199245733895#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

Sale #38

Sold for 10 keys (ID "14218709157" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1708905600/1708992000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401712022#!/compare/1708387200/1709078400

Sale #39

Sold with a Strange Road Block + a Genuine Die Regime-Panzerung + a Strange Spec KS Classic + a Didgeridrongz for a Miami Nights Archer's Sterling (ID "14222255007" of the unusual matches, using for the Sterling)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198401712022#!/compare/1708387200/1709078400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

Marketplace.tf Sales[b/]

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31304;5;u265

[b]MP.TF Sale #1

Sold for $21.49 on December 14, 2023

Average Key Price @ $1.73ish

21.49/1.73 = 12.42ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #2

Sold for $19.95 on December 26, 2023

Average Key Price @ $1.67ish

19.95/1.67 = 11.94ish keys

Unkown History?

MP.TF Sale #3

Sold for $19.95 on January 6, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.68ish

19.95/1.68 = 11.87ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #4

Sold for $19.95 on January 11, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.68ish

19.95/1.68 = 11.87ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #5

Sold for $19.95 on February 1, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.70ish

19.95/1.70 = 11.73ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #6

Sold for $18.99 on February 4, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.70ish

18.99/1.70 = 11.17ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #7

Sold for $19.95 on February 4, 224

Average Key Price @ $1.70

19.95/1.70 = 11.73ish keys

Unknown History?

Sales @ 9, 10, 11, 11, 12, 12, 12, 12, 12, 12

https://imgur.com/a/osEibjh

Even with the multiple sales at 12 there is multiple sellers at 10 and under, both on bp.tf, STN, and SCM so will have to exclude those here, should be fine to take 11 however given one was a pure sale and the other was very recent and both would make the other sellers fall under the range perfectly, also due to the fact that the higher sales would support taking 11 even if we are not including those here

Taking 9-11 here :3