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Past 30 days
2 @ 2 keys 15 ref (~2.25 keys)
3 @ 3 keys
https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20Bare%20Knuckle%20Beatdown%20Unusualifier&at=2024-01-10T01:35:56.954Z
https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Unusual%20Taunt%3A%20Bare%20Knuckle%20Beatdown%20Unusualifier
Feb 9 - Mar 9, in keys
~1.8
~1.7
~1.7
~1.4
~1.4
~2.15
~2.15
~1.4 (x2)
~1.1
~1.3
~1.55
~1.3
~1.3
~1.3
~1.2
~1.3
~1.7
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/9258;5;uncraftable;td-31207
Recent sales at ~3.55 keys are significantly above sellers
https://gladiator.tf/time-machine?item=Non-Craftable%20Unusual%20Taunt:%20Bare%20Knuckle%20Beatdown%20Unusualifier&at=2024-03-10T01:35:51.185Z
Couple of unsolds from ~2.7 to 2.8 keys suggest 3 keys is a bit high here. Two month buyer at ~2.25, but seems unreasonable to exclude all lower sales on SCM (even the highest sales on SCM are below this value).
A bunch of buyers on SCM at ~1.3 keys currently, and a number of recent sales at that value support that as the low end. Taking 1.3 - 2.25 keys.