Suggestion: The Ooze Ye Olde Baker Boy at 290–490 keys

Price Suggestion

~435 keys

ooze

62 votes up

3 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sun, 14 Apr 24 19:03:32 +0000 by the submitter.

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Mini for Morning Glory Honcho's Headgear and Time Warp Texas Ten Gallon

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/3152569288

Sale #1

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118776341#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1703289600/1703376000

Sale #2

Sold with a Wispy Halos Square Dance[/ur;] (6 keys) + 2 keys for a Thundering Spirit Mannrobics (22.5 keys) + a [url=https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65efd98425505ea966037b38]Strange Haunted Forever! Nightbane Brim (44 keys) + a Ghastly Ghosts Jr Classy Capper (340 keys) + a Glimmering Fireworks Undercover Brolly (41.5 keys) + a Spectral Swirl Zoomin' Broom (51 keys) (ID "13978419008" of the unusual matches and keys in the seller's side match histories as well) = 491ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1703635200/1703808000

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Mini of Thundering Spirit Mannrobics

Item 1.1

https://backpack.tf/item/10868691838

Ignoring the first sale given its a trade-back

Sale #1.1

Sold for 22 keys (ID "13971782867" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1703548800/1703635200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388792981#!/compare/1703635200/1703894400

Sale #2.1

Only 21.11 refined traces when using ID "14145846831" of the unusual, incomplete but was a dump anyways-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198388792981#!/compare/1704585600/1707609600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1707350400/1707436800

Item 2.1

https://backpack.tf/item/10689138500

Sale #3.1

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1703635200/1703808000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

Sale #4.1

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1705968000/1706054400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800

Sale #5.1

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998455216#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198006478990#!/compare/1705881600/1707868800

Item 3.1

https://backpack.tf/item/5334167129

Sale #6.1

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198114402400#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320464891#!/compare/1703721600/1703980800

Sale #7.1

Only 16.33 refined traces when using ID '14029042130" of the unusual, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198320464891#!/compare/1704585600/1704844800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

Sale #8.1

Sold for 23 keys (ID "14042849564" of the unusual matches to 12 keys but the buyer's side is clean enough to call it that, some of the keys that do not match histories also match to other things in the seller's side which confirm they were apart of the trade)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1705017600/1705104000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199122203317#!/compare/1704758400/1707523200

Marketplace.tf Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/1162;5;u3066

MP.TF Sale #1.1

Sold for $39.99 on December 29, 2023

Average Key Price @ $1.70ish

39.99/1.70 = 23.52ish keys

Unknown History?

MP.TF Sale #2.1

Sold for $39.99 on January 12, 2024

Average Key Price @ $1.68ish

39.99/1.68 = 23.80ish keys

Unknown History?

Sales @ 22, 23, 24, 24

https://imgur.com/a/aHPMhNA

Excluding 22 here given it was dumped afterwards

Ranging this off sellers at 22 and taking 22-23 as a mini price

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Mini of Spectral Swirl Zoomin' Broom

Item 1.2

https://backpack.tf/item/5212971672

Sale #1.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078324219#!/compare/1706313600/1706572800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061329558#!/compare/1690848000/1706572800

Sale #2.2

Sold for 93 keys + 0.11 refined? (ID '14108452621" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061329558#!/compare/1690848000/1706572800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199388511269#!/compare/1706400000/1706572800

Sale #3.2

Sold for 39 keys + 27 refined (ID "14114377470" of the unusual traces to 35 keys + 30 refined but more was involved)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199388511269#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199047755765#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Proof of Sale: https://imgur.com/a/vYy3sFJ

Item 2.2

https://backpack.tf/item/4960973690

Sale #4.2

Only 7 keys trace when using ID "14105084888" of the unusual, incomplete-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199210592230#!/compare/1706400000/1706572800

Sale #5.2

Sold for 39 keys + 5.55 refined (ID '14183347380" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199210592230#!/compare/1707523200/1708732800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800

Sale #6.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200

Sale #7.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199112522018#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199418911#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

Sale #8.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199199418911#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

Sale #9.2

Bulk sale or transfer?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

Item 3.2

https://backpack.tf/item/4400286046

Sale #10.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079110457#!/compare/1707955200/1708128000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103991885#!/compare/1708041600/1708128000

Sale #11.2

Untraceable?-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199103991885#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069239963#!/compare/1706659200/1709596800

Item 4.2

https://backpack.tf/item/4344927491

Sale #12.2

Sold for 52 keys (ID '14170669036" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849016315#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

Item 5.2

https://backpack.tf/item/4339327863

Sale #13.2

Bulk sale-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1703635200/1703808000

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1703721600/1703808000

Sale #14.2

Sold for 38 keys (ID '13984178791" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1703808000/1703894400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1703894400/1703980800

Sales @ 38, 39, 39, 52

https://imgur.com/a/UJWmI6W

Excluding 38 and both the 39s given they were most likely bot dumps and quicksells judging by who the buyers and sellers are

Going to range this off sellers at 50 and take 50-52 as a mini price here

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Sale #3

Sold for a Morning Glory Honcho's Headgear + 75 keys (ID "14105919907" of the unusual matches, better used for the Headgear given other sale there is a bulk)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198310972287#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052648734#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800

Sale #4

Sold for a Time Warp Texas Ten Gallon (ID "14187695982" of the unusual matches, better used for the Ten Gallon given no other usable sales for it)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198052648734#!/compare/1708300800/1708387200

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088561849#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800

Sale #5

Sold for 234 keys (ID "14200323341" of the unusual matches)-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198088561849#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199173205697#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

Sale #6

Sold for a Death at Dusk Modest Metal Pile of Scrap (135 keys) + 157 keys (the unusual matches histories and the keys in the buyer's side match to the bulk in the seller's side) = 292ish keys-

Seller: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199173205697#!/compare/1709856000/1710028800

Buyer: https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198214802583#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

Sales @ 234, 292, 491

https://imgur.com/a/OtVTXnN

Excluding 234 given buyers at 250. Range is a bit wide but it should be fine given nothing counters any of the other sales here!

Rounding and taking 290-490 here :3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220098345#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000 - Bulk sale

Updating the Classy Capper to account for Lemons' comment would make it closer to 330 Keys.

490/481 -> Honcho's + 75 -> Ten Gallon -> 234 -> 292 -> Bulk -> Gambled a bunch

https://imgur.com/a/t9qCZia - The Bulk sale had a buyout of 450 Keys

Nothing after the 491/481 Keys sale inspires confidence in that being a valid high end. 290 would be better as a conservative raise.