Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13963497963

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163289648#!/compare/1708819200/1708905600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198170592397#!/compare/1708214400/1709596800

Bulk for a Eldritch Horror Taunt: Roasty Toasty

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13948833961

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198970722371#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193449491#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

Bulk for a Non-Craftable Galactic Connection Taunt: The Schadenfreude

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198193449491#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198978238969#!/compare/1704672000/1704758400

No clue

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198978238969#!/compare/1705449600/1705536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199018453453#!/compare/1705708800/1705795200

No clue

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199018453453#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995733039#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

5 keys, 14 ref = ~5 keys

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198995733039#!/compare/1705968000/1706140800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329427488#!/compare/1649808000/1707436800

No clue

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198329427488#!/compare/1707436800/1708473600

No clue

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/13915776216

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198227994816#!/compare/1706745600/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

No clue

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/13903565134

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198132223355#!/compare/1704067200/1704240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199105024427#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

Bulk for a Strange Specialized Killstreak Australium Rocket Launcher

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199105024427#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970809614#!/compare/1708905600/1709683200

Looks like 8 keys

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197970809614#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

Then re-dumped for ~5 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199099521803#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

I'm pretty sure this is one of Estel's bots?

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/13888592637

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198404071831#!/compare/1708905600/1709078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

Can only match a key

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/13708120930

Sale 14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198849016315#!/compare/1702857600/1703030400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013423985#!/compare/1703030400/1703116800

No clue

Sale 15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198013423985#!/compare/1703116800/1703289600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198174121615#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

No clue

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/13513582709

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374836884#!/compare/1709596800/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

5 keys

Item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12997864294

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198080394134#!/compare/1704499200/1704585600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072009235#!/compare/1703721600/1705449600

Probably bought and unusualified

Item 9

https://backpack.tf/item/12496482867

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198017911471#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059160806#!/compare/1704326400/1704412800

No clue

Item 10

https://backpack.tf/item/12473884075

Sale 19

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198210450497#!/compare/1706486400/1707696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199192607141#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

No clue

Item 11

https://backpack.tf/item/11000885334

Mp sale I'll cover below

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31237;5;u3139

$20.00 / $1.70 = ~12 keys (Jan 23)

$20.00 / $1.70 = ~12 keys (Feb 16)

Total Sales

5, 5, 5, 8, 12, 12

https://imgur.com/a/C88WnqH

8 was re-dumped for 5, 12 sales are high with unsolds @ 8

Seems like taking 5 keys is fine here given how often it's selling at that point

Other Glad stats backing this up:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Permafrost%20Essence%20Taunt:%20Shooter%27s%20Stakeout&at=2024-03-14T00:49:57.462Z

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Permafrost%20Essence%20Taunt:%20Shooter%27s%20Stakeout&at=2024-02-14T00:49:57.462Z

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Permafrost%20Essence%20Taunt:%20Shooter%27s%20Stakeout&at=2024-01-14T00:49:57.462Z

Handful of other ~5 key sales here

Unsolds:

https://backpack.tf/item/14105105851 - 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12496482867 - 8