"Dang this has never been priced before?" *closes own suggestion without explanation*

Don't worry, I'll actually commit here.

Sale 1:

Sold for 2 keys + 21 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1705881600/1705968000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038290032#!/compare/1696896000/1705968000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-01-23T12:39:53.452Z - labelled as 2 keys + 19 ref (~2.3 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/10434964796

I'm gonna take the gladiator listing for granted here, instead of what we see in the compare link.

= 2.3 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 2 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1709683200/1709769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199194915583#!/compare/1709683200/1710028800 - keys visible here, none of the metal matches

https://backpack.tf/item/9253817495

= 2 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 1 key + 28.66 ref? via generic buy order

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215105934#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125237893#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-01-28T12:39:53.452Z - labelled as 1 key + 28.44 ref (~1.45 keys)

https://backpack.tf/item/6789160165

Going to take the gladiator listing for granted.

= 1.45 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198107055502#!/compare/1708732800/1709769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/item/13002019546

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198138707710#!/compare/1706918400/1707264000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-02-17T12:39:53.452Z - labelled as 1 key + 44.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10912204494

Untraceable, probably gambled. Was gambled afterwards.

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1705190400/1705276800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199161916038#!/compare/1705190400/1705276800

https://backpack.tf/item/10434964796

Untraceable

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199201937808#!/compare/1705363200/1705449600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125348079#!/compare/1705363200/1705449600

https://backpack.tf/item/10434964796

Untraceable

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199038290032#!/compare/1705968000/1710374400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199084784906#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/item/10434964796

Bulk

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198142120893#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1702684800/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/item/9084538381

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199525652203#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199215105934#!/compare/1687392000/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/item/6789160165

SCM. Too many sales around the time to extract an exact amount it went for.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199580417144#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850121720#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

https://backpack.tf/item/6628509388

Untraceable/Bulk

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253873685#!/compare/1549152000/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199580417144#!/compare/1706745600/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/item/6628509388

Backpack buy hopefully

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244799052#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/item/6457593329

Bulk for Well Worn Isotope Searing Souls Rocket Launcher

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199244799052#!/compare/1707782400/1708387200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059800460#!/compare/1707955200/1708041600

https://backpack.tf/item/6457593329

Bulk

https://backpack.tf/item/8370342212 - unusualified

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30917;5;u3003

$4.99, Jan 18th, 20th, Feb 15th, & 23rd

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - Keys were:

$1.69, Jan 18th

$1.70, Jan 20th, Feb 23rd

$1.71, Feb 15th

4.99/1.69 = ~2.95 keys

4.99/1.7 = ~2.95 keys (2x)

4.99/1.71 = ~2.9 keys

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/drLq5Xi

https://backpack.tf/item/10434964796 - ~2.15 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/6472506122 - ~2.25 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/13799913249 - ~2.35 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10912204494 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13085424912 - marketplace

Sales at:

1.45

2

2.3

Buyers for any effect at ~1.65 keys, excluding 1.45.

Buyer of 2.3 re-sold to a bot in bulk just a couple days after purchase. Not sure if it sold for keys or items, but this would give the sale at 2.3 less validity, especially with the 2 cheaper sellers, one being unsold for 2 months. Excluding 2.3.

Looking at gladiator.tf trades:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-03-13T13:08:36.276Z - ~March 13th

1 key + 41 ref (~1.65 keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-03-10T13:08:36.276Z - ~March 10th

1 key + 41 ref (~1.65 keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-02-17T13:08:36.276Z - ~Feb 17th

1 key + 44.11 ref (~1.7 keys), seen in #2

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-01-27T13:08:36.276Z - ~Jan 27th

1 key + 54.66 ref (~1.85 keys)

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-01-23T12:39:53.452Z - ~Jan 23rd

2 keys + 19 ref, seen in Sale 1

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20The%20Trackman%27s%20Touchdown&at=2024-01-17T13:08:36.276Z - ~Jan 17th

1 key + 40.44 ref (~1.65 keys)

With the untraceable Gladiator sales, we have:

1.45

1.65 (3x, unconfirmed)

1.7 (unconfirmed)

1.85 (unconfirmed)

2

2.3

We have an overwhelming amount of sales cheaper than 2 keys, we should not go with 2 keys flat.

There are a large volume of trades at ~1.65 keys, I'll use that as the low-end.

Taking 1.65-2 keys.

It's just occurred to me that the gladiator listing's page in Sale 3 is for the unique quality trackman's touchdown. Doesn't affect the range, and the sale still appears to be correct anyways (though some metal probably would've gone towards the stuff the seller acquired later).