Mini for darkblaze helmet without a home

Item 1:

https://backpack.tf/item/14083747463

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104559253#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198253093948#!/compare/1708387200/1708646400

Ah first sale is my purchase:

https://imgur.com/a/PuJ5RNr

Miami Nights Tundra was listed for 63 keys

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Miami%20Nights%20Tundra%20Top/65d7d8763eb117b723054fb7

MN Tundra listed at 3475.40 ref

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65cf86a0b4fc8018ea0207dc - this was the key price indate at the time - 55.165 ref

3475.40 / 55.165 = 63 keys

Spooky Night Taunt: Kazotsky Kick listed at 86 keys

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Spooky%20Night%20Taunt:%20Kazotsky%20Kick/65d76d92676ac34828038428

Kazotsky Kick listed at 4744.19 ref

4744.19 / 55.165 = 86 keys

149 - 86 = 63

Item 2:

https://backpack.tf/item/9931181111

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198062747535#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034902108#!/compare/1704931200/1705017600

untrace

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198034902108#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199190065455#!/compare/1705795200/1705881600

62 keys

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199190065455#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

Using in helmet without a home

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198425809836#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1710115200/1710201600

Burning Pugilist + 2 keys + strange festive gloves of running urgently (5.83 keys) + strange gold botkiller medigun + strange shortstop (26.44 ref)

Mini for pugilist

Item 1:

https://backpack.tf/item/328002870

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063070081#!/compare/1706832000/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198261483133#!/compare/1706832000/1706918400

bulk

Sale 2:

Using for miami tundra

Item 2:

https://backpack.tf/item/276028163

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988617879#!/compare/1705276800/1706400000

https://next.backpack.tf/item/276028163

Dupe/screwed history

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198185126222#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198235697740#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

No trace

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198235697740#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1707091200/1707350400

still no trace

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198285371555#!/compare/1707091200/1707350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047819527#!/compare/1706918400/1707177600

bulk for stormy 13th pyros beanie

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047819527#!/compare/1707177600/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198841365001#!/compare/1707609600/1708041600

Bulk for gbh modest

Since there are no usable sales for the pugilist, going to exclude Sale 4

Item 3:

https://backpack.tf/item/11533587972

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1703116800/1703203200

no trace

MPTF sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30976;5;u61

For the marketplace sales, it's recommended to take a one-week moving average around the sale.

So for the Dec 18th sale, we don't have enough data to do the full one week but I reckon we could probably try and do the best we can with the data we do have:

Dec 17th - $1.73

Dec 18th - $1.72

Dec 19th - $1.7

Dec 20th - $1.7

Dec 21st - $1.68

Average for these 5 days:

(1.73 + 1.72 + 1.7 + 1.7 + 1.68) / 5 = 1.706

$139.99 / $1.706 = 82.057 keys

$139.99 / $1.71 = 81.865 keys

Both round to 82 keys

Dec 27th - $1.7

Dec 28th - $1.68

Dec 29th - $1.68

Dec 30th - $1.68

Dec 31st - $1.74

Jan 1st - $1.74

Jan 2nd - $1.72

(1.7 + 1.68 + 1.68 + 1.68 + 1.74 + 1.74 + 1.72) / 7 = 1.706

$139.99 / $1.706 = 82.057 keys

$139.99 / $1.71 = 81.865 keys

Both round to 82 keys

Jan 20th - $1.7

Jan 21st - $1.7

Jan 22nd - $1.7

Jan 23rd - $1.7

Jan 24th - $1.7

Jan 25th - $1.72

Jan 26th - $1.7

(1.7 + 1.7 + 1.7 + 1.7 + 1.7 + 1.72 + 1.7) / 7 = 1.703

$139.99 / $1.703 = 82.20 keys

$139.99 / $1.70 = 82.35 keys

Both round down to 82 keys

So I think 63 - 82 keys could work here