Team 3 - Suggestion 25, made by aj

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13786823691

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198078456508#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078815637#!/compare/1696377600/1704672000

Untrace

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199078815637#!/compare/1696377600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538936442#!/compare/1703289600/1704672000

1 key matches

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199538936442#!/compare/1703289600/1704672000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269224273#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

10 keys 10 ref matches

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198269224273#!/compare/1704672000/1704758400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372388290#!/compare/1704585600/1704672000

Untrace, bulk even?

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198372388290#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113084770#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

Untrace

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113084770#!/compare/1705449600/1705536000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873494594#!/compare/1705190400/1705536000

Sold for:

Purple Confetti Powdered Practitioner - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66063a2b45ab2ec22c07739b - 10 keys

3 keys

10 + 3 = 13 keys

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198873494594#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108880110#!/compare/1705622400/1705708800

14 keys 50 ref leave buyers inv

I think that 1 key and some of the ref has gone to purchase the cosmetics that enter the buyers inv

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Water%20Waders/Tradable/Craftable

https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Winter%20Wonderland%20Wrap/Tradable/Craftable

So treating as 13 keys here

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198108880110#!/compare/1707696000/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046972577#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800

12 keys leave buyers inv, but the 15 keys all match entering the sellers inv

https://backpack.tf/item/11130463682 - this matches histories too

So I guess treating as 13 keys here as well?

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046972577#!/compare/1710028800/1710201600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198104991389#!/compare/1710201600/1710288000

17 keys and some ref leaves buyers inv

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057040433#!/compare/1710115200/1710374400 - 16 of those keys end up here for the Strange Sight for Sore Eyes

I reckon treating this sale as 17 keys is fine

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13480802715

Mannco

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/13474647271

Off and on Mannco

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/13401709630

Bought off STN, instantly listed on Marketplace then sold on Marketplace

Sale 10

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31359;5;u284

Feb 13th - $39.99 / $1.71 = 23.39 keys

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/13363275579

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118320302#!/compare/1708473600/1708560000

Added:

25.55 ref

for

18 keys

Rounding up to 18 keys

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198118320302#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085308746#!/compare/1708646400/1708732800

Untrace, probably less though

Sales

10, 13, 13, 13, 17, 23, 18

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/RpHaBXMuMJ-y

Bot at 16.74 keys

MP seller at $39.99 / $1.67 = 23.95 keys

Running with 13 - 18 keys here, chopping off the bottom sale for 10 because buyers were at 12 keys for a while, seen on next snapshots, and excluding 23 because it is high

Next snapshots prior to March 16th for reference: https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Jellyfish%20Jam%20Firestalker/65f4b517f45f16d4cc01a3f9