Spring 2024 Event

Team 6 // Suggestion 25

Created by JayTuut

Marketplace.tf: https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31003;5;u111

March 28th, 2024. $36.99

Key prices:

28th: 1.67

27th: 1.67

26th: 1.68

25th: 1.67

24th: 1.72

23rd: 1.67

Average = $1.68

$36.99/1.68 = 22 keys

Most likely an outlier due to sellers at 14.63 and 19.47 https://i.imgur.com/K8mzbCH.png

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Item History: https://backpack.tf/item/12725340453

Sales:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047971773#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800 ~ Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198341800810#!/compare/1704585600/1707177600 ~ Untraceable

Item History #2: https://backpack.tf/item/11411325190

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954#!/compare/1708473600/1709078400 / https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199284954/compare?from=1708473600&to=1709078400

~ sold for 16 keys + 28 ref (16 keys)

Item History #3: https://backpack.tf/item/10120387222

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198251846986/compare?from=1705104000&to=1705190400 ~ using near ID we can see it sold for 17 keys + 7 ref

Item History #4: https://backpack.tf/item/7291888586

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198366299848/compare?from=1710633600&to=1710892800 ~ using near ID, 13 keys

Item History #5: https://backpack.tf/item/7481069516

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130628096#!/compare/1709164800/1709251200 ~ bulk

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199057187154#!/compare/1707177600/1707264000 ~ untraceable

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130628096/compare?from=1707091200&to=1707264000 ~ only 2 keys match for the same above sale on buyer side

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198983856237#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200 ~ untraceable

Item History #6: https://backpack.tf/item/7273759008

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220/compare?from=1707350400&to=1707436800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199483430180#!/compare/1707436800/1710115200 ~ untraceable

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316831771/compare?from=1706745600&to=1706832000 ~ untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198085223298#!/compare/1671667200/1705276800 ~ untraceable

Item History #7: https://backpack.tf/item/7257537248

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198177872379/compare?from=1704412800&to=1704499200 ~ untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072441047#!/compare/1704412800/1704499200

Item History #8: https://backpack.tf/item/7255782395

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198164911027#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600 ~ sold for 13 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216803111#!/compare/1705190400/1705795200 ~ sold for 11 keys

Item History #9: https://backpack.tf/item/7273854066

https://next.backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918/compare?from=1710892800&to=1710979200 ~ only useable sale would be to the bot, but can’t see what it was sold for, every other time this hat changed hands it was gambled.

Sales @ 11, 13, 13, 17, 16, 22.

Sellers @ 14.63 and 19.47 https://i.imgur.com/K8mzbCH.png

22 is an outlier, excluding 22.

Going to shrink the range down a bit, influenced by the seller at ~14.6 keys.

Taking 13-16 keys.