Team 2 - Suggestion #173.3 - Omniscient Orb Murderer's Motif - Mini for a Scorching Flames Ye Oiled Baker Boy (Kirbs) 🐒

Item 1:

https://backpack.tf/item/8889952219

Sale 1:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198012645820#!/compare/1704844800/1704931200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1704758400/1704931200

Bulk for the Scorching Flames Ye Oiled Baker Boy

Sale 2:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198415564349#!/compare/1706313600/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

Dumped for 14 keys

Sale 3:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359901481#!/compare/1706572800/1706745600

Bought using the giftcrafter, was re-dumped anyways...

Sale 4:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198359901481#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

Dumped to buy back the giftcrafter

Sale 5:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199092817313#!/compare/1707350400/1707609600

Untrace

Item 2:

https://backpack.tf/item/7679504359

Sale 6:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199489440704#!/compare/1707955200/1708128000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199177136435#!/compare/1707868800/1708128000

Dumped for an unknown amt

Item 3:

https://backpack.tf/item/7358793253

Mannco.store sale - > Dump

Item 4:

https://backpack.tf/item/7328441107

Just deposits and withdrawals

Item 5:

https://backpack.tf/item/7292074684

Sale 7:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199253074656#!/compare/1709078400/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063090000#!/compare/1710460800/1710720000

mannco buy, invalid

Sale 8:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063090000#!/compare/1711152000/1711324800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144708967#!/compare/1711152000/1711238400

Untrace

Sale 9:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198144708967#!/compare/1711065600/1711152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1711065600/1711152000

Untrace

Item 6:

https://backpack.tf/item/7291961994

Sale 10:

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Omniscient%20Orb%20Murderer%27s%20Motif&at=2024-03-31T07:20:56.482Z

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1710028800/1709942400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199021276664#!/compare/1710028800/1710115200

Bought for 18 keys

Sale 11:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199021276664#!/compare/1710028800/1710115200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199230118122#!/compare/1710028800/1710115200

Then re-sold for 15 keys (14267460784) (Keys from the cps motif)

Item 7:

https://backpack.tf/item/7286306931

Sale 12:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198854662187#!/compare/1705190400/1705708800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1705449600/1705536000

Dumped for 14 keys, 47 ref = ~15 keys

Sale 13:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199119484218#!/compare/1706227200/1706400000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1706313600/1706400000

Bot withdraw

Sale 14:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199182969090#!/compare/1708387200/1708473600

Deposited into mannco.store

Item 8:

https://backpack.tf/item/7284428127

Will be covered together at bottom

Item 9:

https://backpack.tf/item/7277959443

Sale 15:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198111389141#!/compare/1704240000/1708732800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1705190400/1705276800

Inv buy

Sale 16:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198026129220#!/compare/1705276800/1705363200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058864808#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800

Untrace, might be one of the mp sales

Sale 17:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058864808#!/compare/1707264000/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198993893390#!/compare/1707868800/1709164800

Bulk for a Scorching Flames El Fiestibrero

Item 10:

https://backpack.tf/item/7248224220

One of the mp sales

Mp.tf

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31016;5;u120

$20.00 / $1.69 = ~12 keys (Jan 15)

$33.99 / $1.70 = ~20 keys (Jan 23)

$33.99 / $1.70 = ~20 keys (Jan 25)

$33.99 / $1.70 = ~20 keys (Feb 17)

$33.99 / $1.70 = ~20 keys (Feb 19)

$39.99 / $1.69 = ~24 keys (Mar 2)

$39.95 / $1.68 = ~24 keys (Mar 15)

Total Sales

12, 14, 15, 15, 18, 20, 20, 20, 20, 24, 24

https://imgur.com/a/QhrgONJ

12 was an outlier mp sale, 14 was a buyer dump

18 unsold for 11 months, 18 and above is likely high here

Taking 15 - 18 keys despite 18 - > 15? No other range really works here

Unsolds:

https://backpack.tf/item/7358793253 - ~16.5

https://backpack.tf/item/7292074684 - ~16.5

https://backpack.tf/item/7262387228 - 18

https://backpack.tf/item/7437180871 - 19