Credit to AJ for freebie

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13181421535

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198069980430#!/compare/1702339200/1702425600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294709940#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

Sold for 22 keys

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198294709940#!/compare/1704672000/1705190400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199387756523#!/compare/1705104000/1705190400

Sold for 26 keys

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199387756523#!/compare/1705708800/1705795200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197988159703#!/compare/1705708800/1705795200

24 keys leave buyers inv

https://backpack.tf/item/13844788386 - this one doesn't match

Maybe 23?

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/13007141187

Sale 4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198156622144#!/compare/1702684800/1702944000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1702598400/1702684800

Bulk to qs.store, valued at buyers

Sale 5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850178158#!/compare/1702771200/1702857600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199156137868#!/compare/1701302400/1704844800

Sapped Mean Captain matches

Probably sold for buyout, will likely fit into a range

Item 3

https://backpack.tf/item/12703736785

Sale 6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198963857433#!/compare/1700956800/1701216000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350762685#!/compare/1687910400/1701302400

SCM purchase, untrace

Sale 7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198350762685#!/compare/1702339200/1702771200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1702252800/1702339200

Untrace

Sale 8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199085116273#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049651680#!/compare/1689984000/1704758400

Sold for 21 keys

Sale 9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198049651680#!/compare/1704758400/1704844800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198117597416#!/compare/1705190400/1705276800

Untrace

Item 4

https://backpack.tf/item/12627770594

Sale 10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198355333388#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1703376000/1703462400

Untrace, sold to STN, on and off STN

Sale 11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198199907774#!/compare/1704153600/1704240000

13 keys match

https://prnt.sc/vIH0rIE_Z-2n - buyout of 30 keys for STN currently, not too sure but they also buy for ~25 keys

Item 5

https://backpack.tf/item/12541362233

Sale 12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198850274253#!/compare/1703462400/1703548800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197993363628#!/compare/1703548800/1703721600

Untrace

Item 6

https://backpack.tf/item/12513852310

Sale 13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198316071886#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1705536000/1705622400

Bulk dump to STN

Sale 14

Bought and then redumped to STN, excluding both sales

Sale 15

Wait what it happened again

Sale 16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079503386#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

8 keys match

Item 7

https://backpack.tf/item/12467319436

Listed on Mannco

item 8

https://backpack.tf/item/12411141941

Sale 17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198089749876#!/compare/1681948800/1702166400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

57 keys 77 ref leaves buyers inventory

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198453530349#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000 - 30 keys match ID here, https://backpack.tf/item/13103696588

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Tainted%20Frost%20Lumbercap/65c8326acbc3145879120972 - next snapshot, the buyer has a buy order actually at 1732.46 ref

Feb 11th so keys were valued at uh - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65b36f60e2a59646680af1e2 - 64.165

1732.46 / 64.165 = 27 keys

Gonna run with 27 keys flat here

Sale 18

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197975898479#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

Resold for 27 keys 1 ref damn, insane profit

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31326;5;u277

Dec 27th 2023 - $59.99 / $1.677 = 35.71 keys

Jan 28th 2024 - $64.99 / $1.7 = 38.23 keys

Key price averages for Dec 27th 2023:

Dec 24th - $1.64

Dec 25th - $1.64

Dec 26th - $1.72

Dec 27th - $1.7

Dec 28th - $1.68

Dec 29th - $1.68

Dec 30th - $1.68

Average: (1.64 + 1.64 + 1.72 + 1.7 + 1.68 + 1.68 + 1.68) / 7 = 1.677, rounds to $1.68

Sales

22

26

23/24 (?) <--- This is your 28.5 key sale

21

27

27

36

38

Current Listings

https://prnt.sc/yDPOfwEeje4E

2 @ 37 keys

1 @ 48 keys

MP seller at $62.99, ~37.05 keys

MP seller at $64.99, ~38.23 keys

Buyers up to 25.1 keys

Concluding thoughts

22 is below buyers

26 is fine

28.5 is fine

21 is below buyers

27 x2 were both buy order dumps

36 and 38 are both marketplace sales

I go 26 - 38 here bap

Relevant pastebin for copypaste purposes into a new suggestion:

https://pastebin.com/W5uWpEvS

:thumbsup: