Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/14168140424

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198131911131#!/compare/1708473600/1709078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1708473600/1709078400

Dumped to STN Unusual bot, some ref and a key matches, incomplete

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197998883721#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

https://i.imgur.com/T1bI7xa.png (Credits to radek)

Bought from STN bot for Verdatica Sophisticated Smoker (82) + 29 keys - 14.66 ref = ~111 keys

//

Mini for Verdatica Sophisticated Smoker:

The hat is in-date at 90: https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65af3c4e9408f103df0782c0, but STN, which the hat was sold to has listed it at ~83 keys: https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Verdatica+Sophisticated+Smoker https://gyazo.com/3f75141b0cf0974cc323d53efc8722db https://backpack.tf/item/14168140424 suggesting valuing at 90 in this sale would be too high. Some other sales:

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079503386#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197960466656#!/compare/1707782400/1707955200

Looks like it sold for 80 keys here

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199104559253#!/compare/1710288000/1710374400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199072654974#!/compare/1710288000/1710374400

I imagine this was a ~82 key dump given snapshots, some ref matches

Sale 3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198238966006#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084131458#!/compare/1708646400/1708819200

63 keys + Sunbeams Bot Dogger (29) = 89 keys

[Sunbeams Bot Dogger:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199526905457#!/compare/1710633600/1710720000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198042589902#!/compare/1710547200/1710633600

Probably ~29 keys?]

Given sales at 80, 82 and 89, I think taking the middle sale at 82 is probably most appropriate - it is also closer in value to what STN is reselling for.

//

No in-date MP.TF Sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31419;5;u13

https://backpack.tf/item/14190849186

One listed at $250

Sales

111

Classies: https://gyazo.com/19b6fac0adeb3bc350b1143d42698a2e

Seller at 250 keys

STN buys for 91 keys: https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Burning+Flames+Wanderer%27s+Wool

Rounding only sale to 110 flat.