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Holy Schmoly V2
Item (Thanks Russell): https://next.backpack.tf/item/14349413625
Sale: Burning Flames Soldier's Stash + Scorching Flames Soldier Stash
Compare Buyer - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198110477461#!/compare/1711843200/1712275200
Compare Seller - https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198927172159#!/compare/1712188800/1712275200
--------------------------------
Burning Flames Soldier's Stash: 1400 - 1650
Active Price Suggestion - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/661b569c4de2008f4902a476
Taking Average Price: 1525
--------------------------------
Scorching Flames Soldier Stash: 1800
Price is outdated
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198150917840#!/compare/1710374400/1713312000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199109683424#!/compare/1712275200/1712966400
Invalid??
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198927172159#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328282971#!/compare/1713052800/1713139200
Sale:
- 945 Keys
- Collectors Festive Sapper (185 Keys) https://backpack.tf/stats/Collector%27s/Festive%20Sapper/Tradable/Craftable
- Strange Festive Rocket Launcher [Pumpkin Bombs + Exorcism] (62.3 Keys) [Spell Sale at $500 on February 11th] https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/658;11;kt-3 (Taking the rate of keys at the time 1.72 to get key value)
- Australium Sniper Rifle [Exorcism] (62.48 Keys) [Spell Sale at 260 Keys Pure] https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198140559064#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200
- Vintage Pyrovision Goggles [Voices From Below] (3.55 Ref) [Spell B/O 8 Keys] https://backpack.tf/stats/Vintage/Pyrovision%20Goggles/Tradable/Craftable
- The Viking Braider [Spectral Spectrum] (1.44 Ref) [Spell B/O 3 Keys] https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Viking%20Braider/Tradable/Craftable
- The Brawling Buccaneer [Spectral Spectrum + Voices From Below] (2.11 Ref) [Spell B/O 3 Keys] https://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Brawling%20Buccaneer/Tradable/Craftable
Spells will be priced at B/O as sadly, they do add.
945 + 185 + 290 + 260 + 8 + 3 + 3 = 1694 Keys
Given this is the only "useable" sale in recent history, the stache will be valued at 1700 for rounding sake.
--------------------------------
1525 + 1700 = 3225 Keys
Hmm not sure how you know that sale for the RL was specifically a double spelled version without any sort of proof? Regardless of anything, I would probably suggest trying to do a complete mini for all the spelled items even if it takes a while just to get the best and exact information that you can since you aren't rounding to project a margin of error here, plus the Collectors Festive Sapper is outdated as well so that one you for sure have to mini beforehand here!
History of the Festive Spelled RL lines up with the sale on mptf. History shows the RL moved from MPTF around the same time.
https://backpack.tf/item/645533941
Regarding the Festive Sapper, there is nothing to mini, only 1 moved in the past 3 months and it was a one-sided transaction in a bulk trade:
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198229872056#!/compare/1710460800/1710892800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198244962432#!/compare/1710374400/1710460800
So, doing my best over here.
My rocket was listed at 160 keys so the 290 mini is inaccurate.
The rocket was included as a mini in the trade. It was not sold individually. The only recent usable sale of the Rocket Launcher occurred on Marketplace TF for the price posted above. Even though you had it listed for 160, it sold for 260 keys recently in USD. If this is incorrect, a price mod will correct me, but when it comes to pricing we use sales and b/os in extreme cases.
With 4 such rockets listed at <165 keys and sales to back up a lower price how can you take 260 as its true value...
https://gyazo.com/925b8bdac5c0fc59f5371563514f060b
Additionally you should at least try to mini the other spelled items. More research is required. Downvoted suggestion.
The only rocket that matches the bill is the one Mikey has listed as it is the exact rocket. It has a specific Pro-Ks kit on it that could have influenced the value. I'm not saying by 100 keys, but it has influenced it. Regardless, you are suggesting I nullify a usable sale on pricing this because there is 2 pro ks rocket launchers double-spelled listed for less. Even though they haven't sold? Do active price suggestions on hats get declined if S/O are below the suggested price (genuinely asking)?
Regarding the other spells, they are difficult to mini, they are much smaller in terms of value, and certain ones, such as the double-spelled jacket, have not moved for a direct transaction in the period. The only one that did move in the past year, was the one you received in a bulk transaction which is impossible to mini- https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198139560938#!/compare/1706054400/1706140800 .Going off of B/Os seems like a much fairer case for them. I will take feedback from a Price Mod regarding this suggestion and follow what they say.
Yes of course you can’t price something way above sellers, that sale is a clear outlier. The exact rocket in the suggestion is being listed by Mikey at 165 keys, so how can you justify it being any higher?