Using last 3 months.

Sale 1:

Sold for 29 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1709683200/1709769600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127409503#!/compare/1706054400/1709856000 - buyer’s bot

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

The 29 keys in the seller’s compare link came from the buyer’s bot.

= 29 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 27 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198032176942#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800

https://backpack.tf/item/7856397017

= 27 keys

Sale 3:

Sold with Negligible metal for 24 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400 - Near ID: 14105506439

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066669648#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/item/7856397017

= 24 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 23 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319114954#!/compare/1707609600/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199193412191#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-13T06:38:49.991Z - confirmed

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

= 23 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 23 keys + negligible metal

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198319114954#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199116198115#!/compare/1707782400/1707868800

https://backpack.tf/item/5589514679

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-15T06:38:49.991Z - Confirmed

The keys and metal are mixed with another trade here.

= 23 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 23 keys?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199127652476#!/compare/1706400000/1706486400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245818316#!/compare/1706313600/1706486400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-01-30T06:38:49.991Z - labeled as 23

https://backpack.tf/item/3565727077

The keys don’t quite match, but there’s quite clearly 23 keys grouped together here.

= 23 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198441006043#!/compare/1708905600/1708992000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199510528049#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

https://backpack.tf/item/14160440581

Untraceable, probably gambled

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199510528049#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199102777012#!/compare/1708992000/1709078400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-29T06:26:19.086Z - labeled as 23 keys + 33.55 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/14160440581

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198168578115#!/compare/1710374400/1710460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139298426#!/compare/1710374400/1710460800

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

Untraceable, probably gambled

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139298426#!/compare/1710374400/1710460800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009914215#!/compare/1709942400/1710460800

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

Either bulk for gambled for the Pumpkin Moon Dayjogger

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198009914215#!/compare/1710720000/1710979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198385624226#!/compare/1710720000/1710806400

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199651832992#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999998871#!/compare/1712707200/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999998871#!/compare/1712707200/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

16 keys? Buyers at ~19.5 currently, so regardless of this being correct or not, it’s not gonna be used here.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198186440117#!/compare/1712016000/1712275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1711929600/1712016000

https://backpack.tf/item/11441518171

Bulk for Cloud 9 Killer Exclusive

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149824582#!/compare/1712188800/1712275200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600

https://backpack.tf/item/11441518171

Untraceable

#10

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198059382847#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198047971773#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/5383497216

Bulk, possible backpack buy

#11

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198037880958#!/compare/1710547200/1711584000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198306870587#!/compare/1711065600/1711152000

https://backpack.tf/item/2710764788

Untraceable

#12

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198130624299#!/compare/1707004800/1707696000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132198012#!/compare/1707609600/1707696000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20girl%20 Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-13T06:38:49.991Z - labelled as 23 keys + 27.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553

18 keys + some metal match

#13

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198137106459#!/compare/1706313600/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198057412106#!/compare/1707868800/1707955200

https://backpack.tf/item/10671213167

Backpack buy. Next in history was a marketplace sales

#14

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1704499200/1707350400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128560410#!/compare/1707264000/1707350400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-08T06:38:49.991Z - labelled as 23 keys + 27.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/10518539282

Untraceable, not many keys/metal match

#15

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066669648#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349848918#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200

https://backpack.tf/item/7856397017

Untraceable

#16

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198094818081#!/compare/1706486400/1706572800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136744617#!/compare/1706486400/1706659200

https://backpack.tf/item/5589514679

Untraceable

#17

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198136744617#!/compare/1707091200/1707782400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199132198012#!/compare/1707696000/1707782400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Conga&at=2024-02-14T06:38:49.991Z - labelled as 23 keys + 27.22 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/5589514679

Untraceable, 11 keys + some metal match

https://backpack.tf/item/8546845904 - untraceable, backpacks won’t update

Marketplace Sales:

$59.99, Feb 17th

$59.99, Feb 20th

$58.24, March 13th

$55, April 2nd

$59.99, April 13th

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were:

$1.7, Feb 17th & 20th

$1.67, March 13th, & April 2nd

$1.65, April 13th

59.99/1.7 = 35.288, rounds to 35 (2x)

58.24/1.67 = 34.874, rounds to 35

55/1.67 = 32.934, rounds to 33

59.99/1.65 = 36.358, rounds to 36

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/yCkc2DB

https://backpack.tf/item/14160440581 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/12745270553 - 30 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/8081185386 - marketplace

https://imgur.com/a/hCvaKf4

https://backpack.tf/item/2710764788 - ~24.6 keys

https://stntrading.eu/item/tf2/Unusual+Holy+Grail+Taunt%3A+Conga

Sales at:

23 (3x)

24

27

29

33 (marketplace

35 (3x, marketplace)

36 (marketplace)

Sellers at 30, excluding all marketplace sales above 30.

Lone seller on STN at less than 25 keys. While I won’t be excluding both the pure sales higher than it, I will at the very least exclude 29, to not stray too far away from it.

Taking 23-27.