Using last 3 months.

Sale 1:

Sold for 7 keys? + 25 ref (rounds to 7.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199107865875#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-02-10T12:24:44.214Z - labelled as 7 keys + 25 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/6470194629

We only see 6 keys, but we see the exact amount of metal on the seller’s end. I’m going to assume gladiator is correct here. This won’t matter for reasons stated later in the suggestion anyways.

= 7.5 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1706745600/1706832000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1706659200/1706832000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-02-02T12:24:44.214Z - labelled as 7 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10580287629

Keys aren’t visible either side, but by manually searching for items with a similar ID, I managed to find 7 keys that went to the bot.

ID of the Squeezebox after the sale: 14115473034

https://backpack.tf/item/14115473027

https://backpack.tf/item/14115473000

https://backpack.tf/item/14115472991

https://backpack.tf/item/14115472985

https://backpack.tf/item/14115472974

https://backpack.tf/item/14115472966

https://backpack.tf/item/14115472960

= 7 keys

Sale 3:

Sold to a bot for 5 keys + 20 ref (rounds to 5.5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198055694560#!/compare/1707004800/1707177600 - Near ID: 14127837948

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128560410#!/compare/1706918400/1707004800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-02-05T12:24:44.214Z - labelled as 5 keys + 20.33 ref, close enough

https://backpack.tf/item/11300326711

= 5.5 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 5 keys + 15.88 ref?

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198163665060#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1706659200/1706745600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-02-01T12:24:44.214Z - labelled as such on gladiator.

https://backpack.tf/item/10580287629

We only see 5 keys + the scrap/reclaimed metal. Regardless of whether metal was involved or not, this sale will rounds to 5 keys anyways.

= 5 keys

Sale 5:

Sold to a bot for 5 keys? + 15 ref (rounds down to 5 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155378170#!/compare/1709510400/1709596800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125108615#!/compare/1709424000/1709510400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Holy%20Grail%20Taunt:%20Surgeon%27s%20Squeezebox&at=2024-03-05T12:24:44.214Z - labelled as such on gladiator

https://backpack.tf/item/9239045457

We see exactly 15 ref in the seller’s compare link, should be fine to assume this is correct.

= 5 keys

Sale 6:

Sold for 4 keys + 21 ref (~4.3 keys)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038040956#!/compare/1713484800/1713657600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487286464#!/compare/1713484800/1713571200

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-04-20T23:47:55.437Z - keys were ~75 ref at the time of the sale.

= 4.3 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199069442401#!/compare/1706227200/1706313600

https://backpack.tf/item/10580287629

Bulk. Next in history sold on marketplace.

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198054855474#!/compare/1710547200/1710633600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1710460800/1710547200

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

Bulk

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113190503#!/compare/1710806400/1710979200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198038040956#!/compare/1710979200/1711324800

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

Sold for ‘72 Zoomin’ Broom.

We have sufficient pure sales here, can use this on the Broom instead.

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199487286464#!/compare/1713571200/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199180429509#!/compare/1713398400/1713830400

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

Appears to have sold for a pool party.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199180429509#!/compare/1713830400/1713916800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1713830400/1713916800

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

Untreaceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199202090646#!/compare/1713830400/1713916800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198155287548#!/compare/1713744000/1713916800

https://backpack.tf/item/9934902733

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198192632255#!/compare/1708819200/1711238400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1708732800/1708819200

https://backpack.tf/item/6470194629

Untraceable. Bot dump.

This sale follows the ~7.5 key sale of Sale 1.

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199043177646#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581722058#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200

https://backpack.tf/item/6470194629

Untraceable, probably a bot flip.

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086108942#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199183171982#!/compare/1708560000/1708646400

https://backpack.tf/item/6460478069

Bulk backpack buy.

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30918;5;u3003

$20, Jan 31st

$16.67, March 11th.

Given how high these are gonna be compared to our pure sales, and the current sellers on marketplace being a little cheaper, I’m going to go ahead and exclude these. Additionally, the one that sold on Jan 31st re-sold to a bot the next day (#1 & Sale 4)

https://backpack.tf/item/12576972562 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9777607591 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/9079730087 - unusualified

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/Or0dYKC

https://backpack.tf/item/9777607591 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12576972562 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/6460478069 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/10580287629 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/6980110522 - marketplace

Sales at:

4.3

5 (2x)

5.5

7

7.5

7.5 re-sold to a bot for less. Excluding 7.5.

4.3 is a lone sale to a bot. Excluding 4.3.

Taking 5-7 keys.