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Counter, requested by Bentry Suster.
Sale 1:
Sold for 3 keys (buyer's end)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198254278096#!/compare/1707004800/1707091200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243929698#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600
https://backpack.tf/item/11301505225
= 3 keys
Sale 2:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 7 ref (~0.1 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198119131370#!/compare/1709164800/1709251200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1709164800/1709251200
https://backpack.tf/item/14199776186
The 2 keys on the buyer's end don't match, but it's pretty clear it sold for that.
= 2.1 keys
Sale 3:
Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 7 ref (~0.1 keys)
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198243929698#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400
https://backpack.tf/item/14132810167
This sale follows Sale 1 at 3 keys.
= 2.1 keys
Other Sales:
#1
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198220116669#!/compare/1706918400/1707955200 - backpack won't update for me
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1707091200/1707177600
https://backpack.tf/item/12499515086
Untraceable/Bulk
#2
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198868211413#!/compare/1701475200/1707523200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581842147#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200
https://backpack.tf/item/13757279187
Untraceable, probably a backpack sale
#3
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199581842147#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1707436800/1707523200
https://backpack.tf/item/13757279187
Untraceable
#4
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199088494686#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963995721#!/compare/1707868800/1709078400
https://backpack.tf/item/14132810167
SCM. Too many sales there to determine which one it was.
#5
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111073161#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197999998871#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400
https://backpack.tf/item/12265184962
Untraceable
#6
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197963995721#!/compare/1709683200/1709856000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1709596800/1709683200
https://backpack.tf/item/11301505225
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/item/12458858173 - mannco
Marketplace Sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31236;5;u3003
$5.55, April 30th
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/5021;6 - keys were $1.63 at the time
5.55/1.63 = 3.4
Sellers:
https://imgur.com/a/ENKytuM
https://backpack.tf/item/13213264041 - ~2.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12265184969 - 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/14199776186 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/12088899088 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/11301505225 - marketplace
Sales at:
2.1 (2x)
3
3.4 (marketplace)
Sale at 3 is a pure sale. With the ~2.5 key seller in mind, I’ll exclude 3.4, but keep 3.
Sales at 2.1 aren’t too uncommon, despite going to buy orders. Additionally, the highest buyer barring STN is a lone human buyer at 2.14 for any effect, with the next lot being bots at 2 keys for any effect. Should be fine to keep 2.1 in the range.
Taking 2.1-3.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198234377776#!/compare/1715990400/1716249600
https://backpack.tf/item/13213264041
Sold for 2 keys + 10 ref
Was the one that was listed for ~2.5 keys
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000
https://backpack.tf/item/12701664720
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198311498888#!/compare/1716336000/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198159815333#!/compare/1716163200/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/item/12701664720
Untraceable, only 2 keys match
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1716249600/1716336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198349910683#!/compare/1716163200/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/item/12499515086
2 keys + some amount of metal match. Some metal probably came from the item the buyer sold.
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198079853160#!/compare/1716076800/1716336000
https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198124380112#!/compare/1715644800/1716422400
https://backpack.tf/item/11710462316
Untraceable
https://backpack.tf/item/13280478923 - unusualified
https://backpack.tf/item/12741642901 - mannco
https://backpack.tf/item/14556161282 - marketplace
Marketplace sales:
https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/31236;5;u3003
$5.55, June 8th & June 30th
https://backpack.tf/item/14199776186 - June 8th
https://backpack.tf/item/11301505225 - June 30th
can't find the other history
Both sales exceed 3 keys, which should remain excluded due to current sellers.
Updated seller list:
https://imgur.com/a/qkwZBM1
https://backpack.tf/item/12499515086 - ~2.45 keys (inaccurate decimals due to key price not yet being adjusted)
https://backpack.tf/item/12265184969 - 3 keys
https://backpack.tf/item/12088899088 - marketplace
https://backpack.tf/item/14556161282 - marketplace
3rd listing in the classifieds screenshot is the June 30th marketplace sale.