Sale 1:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199139085248#!/compare/1713830400/1713916800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198122460993#!/compare/1713484800/1714003200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-04-25T14:43:46.990Z - labelled as 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/10517590725

= 3 keys

Sale 2:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1714953600/1715040000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198116066664#!/compare/1714867200/1715040000

https://backpack.tf/item/5132716819

= 3 keys

Sale 3:

Sold for 3 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199173379918#!/compare/1709337600/1711152000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278585291#!/compare/1710979200/1711065600

https://backpack.tf/item/4257002180

= 3 keys

Sale 4:

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 43.77 ref (keys were 63.94 at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381990471#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199128560410#!/compare/1709942400/1710028800

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-03-11T14:43:46.990Z - labelled as 2 keys + 43.77 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4265164643

= 2.7 keys

Sale 5:

Sold for 2 keys + 23 ref (keys were 63.94 at the time)

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199203680409#!/compare/1709769600/1709856000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198381990471#!/compare/1709856000/1709942400 - all visible here

https://backpack.tf/item/4265164643

= 2.35 keys

Other Sales:

#1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014784497#!/compare/1711324800/1711411200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198245111856#!/compare/1705881600/1714262400

https://backpack.tf/item/13879042093

Untraceable

#2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198383810614#!/compare/1712707200/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1712707200/1712793600

https://backpack.tf/item/10893506445

Untraceable

#3

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199129226151#!/compare/1712880000/1712966400

https://backpack.tf/item/10893506445

Untraceable, 2 keys match

#4

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044674867#!/compare/1707523200/1709164800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199061291714#!/compare/1707523200/1707609600

https://backpack.tf/item/7962986842

Untraceable. Gambled afterwards.

#5

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198191744974#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199111292616#!/compare/1709337600/1709424000

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-03-03T14:43:46.990Z - labelled as 2 keys + 43 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/5410769603

Untraceable

#6

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198940683336#!/compare/1712188800/1715126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198216241727#!/compare/1712102400/1712188800

https://backpack.tf/item/5132716819

Untraceable

#7

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198935532676#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1708128000/1708214400

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-02-18T14:43:46.990Z - labelled as 2 keys + 34.11 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4646249347

#8

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199029736015#!/compare/1708214400/1708300800

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198149631517#!/compare/1708300800/1709769600

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-02-19T14:43:46.990Z - labelled as 2 keys + 54.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/4646249347

#9

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198278585291#!/compare/1714003200/1714089600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198044060669#!/compare/1713916800/1714262400

https://backpack.tf/item/4257002180

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/14025371025 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13857147157 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4270082748 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/4257126637 - marketplace

Marketplace Sales:

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30673;5;u3006

$8, Feb 10th

$7, April 28th & May 5th

These sales will exceed 4 keys, which is significantly higher than the seller on the classifieds at the moment. Excluding 4.

Sellers:

https://imgur.com/a/6cCVblI

https://backpack.tf/item/4500249530 - ~3 keys

https://backpack.tf/item/5584996207 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/13057680552 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/4257126637 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/12550330253 - marketplace

https://backpack.tf/item/5410769603 - marketplace

Sales at:

2.35

2.7

3 (3x)

While a low-end below 3 keys is absolutely necessary here, with the abundance of sales cheaper than 3 keys according to gladiator, 2.35 seems absurdly low, and truthfully, I’m not confident the sale’s even correct. I only included it because it looked fairly clear after counting the keys/metal on the buyer’s end. I will use 2.7 as the low-end.

Taking 2.7-3 keys.

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198374038715#!/compare/1715644800/1715731200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199263175740#!/compare/1715558400/1715731200

https://backpack.tf/item/12535476787

Untraceable, the Hitman's matches lol

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199263175740#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198002757046#!/compare/1715817600/1715904000

https://backpack.tf/item/12535476787

Sold to a bot for 2 keys + 39 ref

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key&at=2024-05-19T00:44:25.093Z - keys were ~73.66 ref at the time

= 2.55 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198072999396#!/compare/1715040000/1715126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1715040000/1715126400

https://backpack.tf/item/4500249530

Sold to STN for 2 keys + 42.55 ref (~2.6 keys)

= 2.6 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199026390261#!/compare/1715040000/1715126400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199309902287#!/compare/1715040000/1715558400

https://backpack.tf/item/4500249530

Sold for 2 keys + 64 ref (~2.85 keys)

Gambled afterwards.

= 2.85 keys

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198208027161#!/compare/1717027200/1717200000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199125108615#!/compare/1716940800/1717027200

https://gladiator.tf/sales?item=Screaming%20Tiger%20Taunt:%20Soldier%27s%20Requiem&at=2024-05-31T00:46:39.728Z - labelled as 2 keys + 37.33 ref

https://backpack.tf/item/9928049150

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199017959799#!/compare/1715299200/1715385600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199564942025#!/compare/1715299200/1715385600

https://backpack.tf/item/7962986842

Untraceable, gambled prior

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561199059632349#!/compare/1715212800/1715299200

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198328553867#!/compare/1715212800/1715558400

https://backpack.tf/item/4290473609

Untraceable

https://backpack.tf/item/6080598318 - mannco

https://backpack.tf/item/5584996207 - marketplace

I could re-suggest at ~2.6-3, but given the marketplace sales not currently being countered by anything now, it may be better to just leave it as is.