Suggestion: Scorching Flames Head Prize at 1200–1600 keys

Price Suggestion

~1375 keys

scorch

40 votes up

3 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Fri, 31 May 24 03:47:53 +0000 by Xerg.

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Comments

Resuggestion as per:

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/661c554306cb56ab6401db92#comment-6656cb5d8f375b1ed70bd414

price the furry hat yeet, taking over this from yahi

https://backpack.tf/suggestion/65e4837d6b304a237c0440bb#comment-661bed4efd15be71240ee60c

Item 1

https://backpack.tf/item/13066604392

Item 2

https://backpack.tf/item/10218797643

Sale 1

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198019254407#!/compare/1711843200/1711929600

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1711843200/1711929600

Bulk for BF TC

Sale 2

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198035785804#!/compare/1712793600/1712880000

Sold for:

1140 keys

North Star Dapper Dickens - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/661c5053bda99b0b74091c6b - 190 keys

Bubble Breeze Burning Question - no usable sales, https://prnt.sc/CDzYdEZfZqxu - STN pays 41.5 keys

Isotope Festivized Professional Killstreak Star Crossed Degreaser (Well-Worn) - no usable sales either, https://backpack.tf/stats/Unusual/Degreaser/Tradable/Craftable/702 - https://prnt.sc/EX_3hcFiMwlD - 23 key generics

Solar Scorched Taunt: Mannrobics - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/661c53bd500403462c059fe2 - 15.5 keys

Pastel Trance Taunt: Scorcher's Solo - https://backpack.tf/suggestion/66064afbf85b402c4b01060f - indate 11 keys

Combustible Cutie - https://prnt.sc/sC48JVF47V79 - 23 keys seems fine, 12 day old seller covers the fact this trade happened ~3 days ago

Strange Professional Killstreak Australium Axtinguisher - https://prnt.sc/vNbAkaSx3T9X - 14 keys seems fine

~94 keys in other stuff, I selected the stuff that came in via time here:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063640894?time=1712880000

https://gyazo.com/2444a162b49108f80cf741f99ec1748d

https://next.backpack.tf/classifieds/snapshots/Scorching%20Flames%20Head%20Prize/6618bcaed0bac55549023781

Buyout of $2549.99 so no actual key buyout I think

1140 + 190 + 41.5 + 23 + 15.5 + 11 + 23 + 14 + 94 = 1552 keys

Damn so no real buyout cap here since it was listed on Marketplace

I could round to 1550 keys here, I don't love rounding down because I've taken buyers on that Burning Question and that Degreaser which is PKS and would probably easily sell for $70/$80 thus making this sale closer to 1600 if anything but I don't really have any proof of that so idk.

There are also some unpriced skins like:

Strange Professional Killstreak Business Class Detonator (Field-Tested)

which is easily 5 keys in its own right

Marketplace sales

https://marketplace.tf/items/tf2/30838;5;u14

Mar 2nd - $2000 / $1.69 = 1183.43 keys

Sales

1552, 1183

Rounding to nearest 50 keys here and running with 1200 - 1550 keys

Please comment if you think the rounding is fine or if maybe it should be 1200 - 1600 instead

Thank

Thanks Xerg:

New sale:

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197982127154#!/compare/1715904000/1715990400

https://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198146588706#!/compare/1715731200/1715990400

Probably cash, b/o was 1750 https://gyazo.com/67e570cd5b00e2e665a32012ef0df3f6

I'd say it's worth asking Ultralow what the sale was

As far as the rounding goes I think it's probably fine, the bubble breeze burning question is probably pretty close to 41.5 and I think 94 might be a little high on the other items (though some unpriced skins could change things). The degreaser is the main thing being undervalued imo. I'm fine with either 1550 or 1600

Thanks to *HELP UKRAINE MORE NOW! For sharing his purchase:

Trade 2:1 https://imgur.com/a/qfhN8QG

Thanks to ultralow for confirming the trade:

https://prnt.sc/i9xTpcXabwwB

aj addendum:

Many thanks

New sale:

Sold for:

2x Sticker | Fnatic (Holo) | Katowice 2014

2 keys

Mini for Katowice 2014 Fnatic Holo Sticker

https://steamcommunity.com/market/pricehistory/appid=730&market_hash_name=Sticker%20%7C%20Fnatic%20%28Holo%29%20%7C%20Katowice%202014

Currency: £

"Mar 30 2024 01: +0",

1409.425, "1"

Keyprice: £1.58

1409.425 / 1.58 = 892.04 keys

"May 03 2024 01: +0",

1409.412, "1"

Keyprice: £1.59

1409.412 / 1.59 = 886.42 keys

Current seller on SCM:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/730/Sticker%20%7C%20Fnatic%20%28Holo%29%20%7C%20Katowice%202014

https://prnt.sc/uCi0lxrILtom

£1358.97 listed

Keyprice currently:

https://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Mann%20Co.%20Supply%20Crate%20Key

https://prnt.sc/SUHK7qq-yUNG

£1.73

1358.97 / 1.73 = 785.53 keys

2x sales at the same price, differeing by ~6 keys

Then a listed seller currently valued at ~100 keys less because of keyprice increasing and also being listed ~£50 less

If treating as a range of 786 - 892, avg of 839 but we have 2 of them so it doesn't matter lmao, it comes out to 1678 + 2 = 1680 keys

Checking sales on other sites

Skinport:

https://skinport.com/item/sticker-fnatic-holo-katowice-2014/23738344

Seller listed at £1033.27

https://skinport.com/tf2/item/mann-co-supply-crate-key/44156290

Keyprice of £1.32

1033.27 / 1.32 = 782.78 keys

Buff:

https://buff.163.com/goods/40175?from=market#tab=history

May 12th - ¥ 8000

https://buff.163.com/goods/798055#tab=history

Keyprice - ~¥ 11.2? It doesn't go any further back

¥ 8000 / ¥ 11.2 = 714.285 keys

Could not find any for sale on csfloat or csdeals

So we have another seller supporting the low end and a sale in May around a week after the SCM sale for ~886

I think I could wide range this 714 - 892 keys which is horrible but fine for the time being, this comes to 1606 + 2 = 1608 keys sale

Resuggesting at 1200 - 1600 keys here

TF2 key price on BUFF have hovered around ~10.9 to ~11.2 back and forth consistently for a long time. Around the time of May 12th BUFF sale, keys were at ~11rmb. There is also a 8000 rmb sale on BUFF on April 7th. I can provide proof of both if needed, not that it changes anything.

Yeah, I noticed the April 7th sale and didn't mention it oops. I think I saw it was a supply, or a buy order dump, so didn't really feel like it should be used. I think either way the sale is close to 1600 here. Additional proof is great, that'd be really helpful for both me and the mods

Happy to help you and our dear mods. <3

Supply/buy order on BUFF is indeed someone quickly dumping their item to minimum possible sale amount.

Some purchases I've made off keys recently on BUFF. Coincidentally helpful here but it's all I could find. I don't either seem to be able to see price trend or history on TF2 keys despite having all of BUFFs unlockable extra points "features"

Price of TF2 keys on buff varies depending on day to day basis, probably because someone with a ton of keys wants to get BUFF balance for purchases on the site.

https://imgur.com/a/mmHqzae

Well in a shocking (not so shocking) turn of events, BUFF just completely wiped all TF2 functionality and history from their site.

I clutched it up fr, maybe I should've taken screenshots

It's alright bro, happens

Thanks for getting the info on the CS sale and doing such thorough minis. Regardless of what it comes out to I'd say it supports the high end that is already here. This seems fine.